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Matchups

Games Today: 10
5:00 PM
Projected
OKC
126.25
WAS
105.25
Click a Team
Show Lines
OKC 17 - 26 (39.53%) | W9
WAS 19 - 22 (46.34%)
Over/Under
231.5
Spread
OKC -21.5
WAS +21.5
Possible Blowout
Money Line
OKC -4000
WAS +1500
Implied Probability: 98%
7:00 PM
Projected
CLE
120.75
NOP
116.25
Click a Team
Show Lines
CLE 20 - 23 (46.51%) | W1
NOP 27 - 15 (64.29%) | W1
Over/Under
236.5
Highest
Spread
CLE -4.5
NOP +4.5
Money Line
CLE -184
NOP +154
Competitive
7:00 PM
Projected
LAL
118
ORL
114.5
Click a Team
Show Lines
LAL 22 - 27 (44.9%) | W2
ORL 20 - 21 (48.78%) | W3
Over/Under
232.5
Spread
LAL -3
ORL +3
Close Game / Overtime (4%-6%)
Money Line
LAL -154
ORL +130
High Overtime Potential / Coin Flip
7:00 PM
Projected
MEM
107.75
CHA
125.75
Click a Team
Show Lines
MEM 16 - 28 (36.36%)
CHA 0 - 0 (0.0%)
Over/Under
233.5
Spread
MEM +18.5
CHA -18.5
Possible Blowout
Money Line
MEM +1100
CHA -2200
Implied Probability: 96%
8:00 PM
Projected
GSW
109.25
ATL
119.75
Click a Team
Show Lines
GSW 13 - 35 (27.08%)
ATL 25 - 19 (56.82%) | W1
Over/Under
229.5
Spread
GSW +11
ATL -11
Possible Blowout
Money Line
GSW +390
ATL -520
Implied Probability: 84% Blowout Watch
8:00 PM
Projected
IND
108.5
SAS
126
Click a Team
Show Lines
IND 15 - 26 (36.59%)
SAS 14 - 27 (34.15%) | W8
Over/Under
234.5
2nd Highest
Spread
IND +17.5
SAS -17.5
Possible Blowout
Money Line
IND +1100
SAS -2200
Implied Probability: 96%
8:00 PM
Projected
MIA
113
HOU
115
Click a Team
Show Lines
MIA 23 - 28 (45.1%) | W4
HOU 14 - 27 (34.15%)
Over/Under
228.5
Spread
MIA +2
HOU -2
Close Game / Overtime (4%-6%)
Money Line
MIA +110
HOU -130
High Overtime Potential / Coin Flip
8:30 PM
Projected
LAC
120.75
DAL
113.25
Click a Team
Show Lines
LAC 22 - 22 (50.0%) | W1
DAL 23 - 18 (56.1%)
Over/Under
234.5
2nd Highest
Spread
LAC -7.5
DAL +7.5
Money Line
LAC -310
DAL +250
Strong Favorite
9:30 PM
Projected
PHI
117.5
UTA
112
Click a Team
Show Lines
PHI 29 - 18 (61.7%)
UTA 23 - 18 (56.1%) | W2
Over/Under
229.5
Spread
PHI -5.5
UTA +5.5
Money Line
PHI -230
UTA +190
Competitive
10:00 PM
Projected
MIL
103.25
PHX
114.75
Click a Team
Show Lines
MIL 26 - 17 (60.47%)
PHX 0 - 0 (0.0%)
Over/Under
218.5
Spread
MIL +11.5
PHX -11.5
Possible Blowout
Money Line
MIL +460
PHX -620
Implied Probability: 86% Blowout Watch
All times above are EST
Projected scores last updated: 3:25 PM EST

Today's Slates

DraftKings
DraftKings Default
All
Classic
Start
7:00 PM
Games
7
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
CLE
@
NOP
LAL
@
ORL
MEM
@
CHA
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
LAC
@
DAL
DraftKings
OKC @ WAS
Showdown
Start
5:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
OKC
@
WAS
DraftKings
LAL @ ORL
Showdown
Start
7:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
LAL
@
ORL
DraftKings
FBWC
Classic
Start
7:00 PM
Games
7
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
CLE
@
NOP
LAL
@
ORL
MEM
@
CHA
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
LAC
@
DAL
DraftKings
Tiers
Tiers
Start
7:00 PM
Games
7
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
CLE
@
NOP
LAL
@
ORL
MEM
@
CHA
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
LAC
@
DAL
DraftKings
Turbo
Classic
Start
8:00 PM
Games
3
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
DraftKings
LAC @ DAL
Showdown
Start
8:30 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
LAC
@
DAL
DraftKings
Night
Classic
Start
9:30 PM
Games
2
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
PHI
@
UTA
MIL
@
PHX
DraftKings
MIL @ PHX
Showdown
Start
10:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
MIL
@
PHX
DraftKings
2H MIL @ PHX
Showdown
Start
11:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
MIL
@
PHX
FanDuel
FanDuel Default
Main
Full Roster
Start
7:00 PM
Games
7
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
CLE
@
NOP
LAL
@
ORL
MEM
@
CHA
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
LAC
@
DAL
FanDuel
All Day
Full Roster
Start
5:00 PM
Games
10
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
OKC
@
WAS
CLE
@
NOP
LAL
@
ORL
MEM
@
CHA
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
LAC
@
DAL
PHI
@
UTA
MIL
@
PHX
FanDuel
Express
Full Roster
Start
8:00 PM
Games
4
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
GSW
@
ATL
MIA
@
HOU
IND
@
SAS
LAC
@
DAL
FanDuel
After Hours
Full Roster
Start
9:30 PM
Games
2
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
PHI
@
UTA
MIL
@
PHX
FanDuel
OKC @ WAS
SingleGame
Start
5:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
OKC
@
WAS
FanDuel
LAL @ ORL
SingleGame
Start
7:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
LAL
@
ORL
FanDuel
LAC @ DAL
SingleGame
Start
8:30 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
LAC
@
DAL
FanDuel
MIL @ PHO
SingleGame
Start
10:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
MIL
@
PHX
FanDuel
2ND HALF ONLY (MIL @ PHO)
SingleGame
Start
10:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
MIL
@
PHX
FanDuel
4TH QTR ONLY (MIL @ PHO)
SingleGame
Start
10:00 PM
Games
1
Open in Optimizer
Show Matchups
MIL
@
PHX

Slate Signals

Top Value Plays
Value First
FanDuel
Brook Lopez (LAC)
$4200 | 26.60 FP | 6.30x | 28.00 MIN
DeJon Jarreau (MEM)
$4300 | 26.64 FP | 6.20x | 22.00 MIN
Max Christie (DAL)
$4200 | 25.11 FP | 6.00x | 31.00 MIN
Walter Clayton (MEM)
$5200 | 30.30 FP | 5.80x | 31.00 MIN
Moussa Diabate (CHA)
$5200 | 29.96 FP | 5.80x | 28.00 MIN
DraftKings
Walter Clayton (MEM)
$4300 | 30.87 FP | 7.20x | 31.00 MIN
DeJon Jarreau (MEM)
$4100 | 26.63 FP | 6.50x | 22.00 MIN
Dean Wade (CLE)
$3400 | 20.67 FP | 6.10x | 27.00 MIN
Devin Vassell (SAS)
$5200 | 30.66 FP | 5.90x | 32.00 MIN
Deandre Ayton (LAL)
$5000 | 29.38 FP | 5.90x | 29.00 MIN
Top Overall
Projection First
FanDuel
Victor Wembanyama (SAS)
$12100 | 58.50 FP | 4.80x | 33.00 MIN
Luka Doncic (LAL)
$12700 | 50.99 FP | 4.00x | 38.00 MIN
Jalen Johnson (ATL)
$10900 | 48.26 FP | 4.40x | 36.00 MIN
Evan Mobley (CLE)
$9600 | 45.62 FP | 4.80x | 33.00 MIN
Bam Adebayo (MIA)
$8700 | 44.76 FP | 5.10x | 36.00 MIN
DraftKings
Victor Wembanyama (SAS)
$11200 | 58.54 FP | 5.20x | 33.00 MIN
Luka Doncic (LAL)
$12300 | 54.06 FP | 4.40x | 38.00 MIN
Jalen Johnson (ATL)
$10700 | 49.42 FP | 4.60x | 36.00 MIN
James Harden (CLE)
$9400 | 46.44 FP | 4.90x | 35.00 MIN
Paolo Banchero (ORL)
$9100 | 46.01 FP | 5.10x | 36.00 MIN
Opportunity Watch
Structured injury opportunity, beneficiary alignment, and direct bump signals
FanDuel
Cam Spencer (MEM)
$5900 | 24.9 FP | 4.23x | +0.4 MIN | +0.9 FP
Align 0.23 | Stack 0.31 | Focus 0.41
backcourt minutes open; bench->starter; Primary Beneficiary
Harrison Barnes (SAS)
$3900 | 20.8 FP | 5.33x | +0.7 MIN | +0.7 FP
Align 0.15 | Stack 0.29 | Focus 0.27
high total; frontcourt minutes open
Javon Small (MEM)
$5600 | 20.9 FP | 3.74x | +0.2 MIN | +0.6 FP
Align 0.10 | Stack 0.27 | Focus 0.22
backcourt minutes open; rebound vacuum
Walter Clayton (MEM)
$5200 | 29.5 FP | 5.68x | +0.3 MIN | +0.6 FP
Align 0.07 | Stack 0.20 | Focus 0.12
backcourt minutes open; starter out on team
Taylor Hendricks (MEM)
$5100 | 27.4 FP | 5.38x | +0.1 MIN | +0.5 FP
Align 0.05 | Stack 0.14 | Focus 0.09
frontcourt minutes open; rebound vacuum
DraftKings
Cam Spencer (MEM)
$4500 | 24.2 FP | 5.38x | +0.4 MIN | +0.9 FP
Align 0.23 | Stack 0.31 | Focus 0.41
backcourt minutes open; Primary Beneficiary
Harrison Barnes (SAS)
$3600 | 21.5 FP | 5.98x | +0.7 MIN | +0.7 FP
Align 0.14 | Stack 0.29 | Focus 0.26
high total; frontcourt minutes open
Javon Small (MEM)
$5100 | 23.1 FP | 4.53x | +0.2 MIN | +0.6 FP
Align 0.10 | Stack 0.27 | Focus 0.22
rebound vacuum; frontcourt thin; backcourt minutes open; bench->starter
Walter Clayton (MEM)
$4300 | 31.2 FP | 7.26x | +0.2 MIN | +0.5 FP
Align 0.07 | Stack 0.20 | Focus 0.12
backcourt minutes open; starter out on team
Taylor Hendricks (MEM)
$4900 | 26.9 FP | 5.48x | +0.1 MIN | +0.5 FP
Align 0.05 | Stack 0.14 | Focus 0.09
frontcourt minutes open; rebound vacuum
Cash Stability
Confidence, floor, minutes, and P7x first
FanDuel
Luka Doncic (LAL)
$12700 | 54.7 FP | 4.30x | P7x 1.0% | Cash 58.31 | Conf 0.823
De'Aaron Fox (SAS)
$7500 | 51.1 FP | 6.82x | P7x 24.6% | Cash 54.53 | Conf 0.922
Jalen Johnson (ATL)
$10900 | 54.6 FP | 5.01x | P7x 7.7% | Cash 53.44 | Conf 0.727
Evan Mobley (CLE)
$9600 | 49.3 FP | 5.13x | P7x 2.3% | Cash 51.05 | Conf 0.833
James Harden (CLE)
$9500 | 47.7 FP | 5.02x | P7x 2.9% | Cash 50.14 | Conf 0.810
DraftKings
Luka Doncic (LAL)
$12300 | 59.1 FP | 4.80x | P7x 2.6% | Cash 62.42 | Conf 0.832
De'Aaron Fox (SAS)
$7300 | 52.1 FP | 7.14x | P7x 60.2% | Cash 55.59 | Conf 0.923
Jalen Johnson (ATL)
$10700 | 55.8 FP | 5.21x | P7x 9.4% | Cash 54.07 | Conf 0.703
Evan Mobley (CLE)
$9200 | 49.6 FP | 5.39x | P7x 2.5% | Cash 52.66 | Conf 0.884
James Harden (CLE)
$9400 | 51.1 FP | 5.43x | P7x 11.8% | Cash 51.42 | Conf 0.730
GPP Ceiling
Ceiling, high-end probabilities, and SmashScore first
FanDuel
Jalen Johnson (ATL)
$10900 | 54.6 FP | P8x 1.6% | P10x 0.2% | GPP 96.86 | Smash 0.015
Luka Doncic (LAL)
$12700 | 54.7 FP | P8x 0.6% | P10x 0.2% | GPP 87.74 | Smash 0.002
Jay Huff (IND)
$4700 | 35.2 FP | P8x 34.9% | P10x 7.7% | GPP 85.93 | Smash 0.175
James Harden (CLE)
$9500 | 47.7 FP | P8x 0.6% | P10x 0.1% | GPP 76.65 | Smash 0.005
LaMelo Ball (CHA)
$8600 | 45.1 FP | P8x 1.0% | P10x 0.2% | GPP 76.22 | Smash 0.010
DraftKings
Jalen Johnson (ATL)
$10700 | 55.8 FP | P8x 3.7% | P10x 0.4% | GPP 101.60 | Smash 0.019
James Harden (CLE)
$9400 | 51.1 FP | P8x 4.3% | P10x 0.4% | GPP 95.99 | Smash 0.022
Luka Doncic (LAL)
$12300 | 59.1 FP | P8x 1.1% | P10x 0.5% | GPP 95.53 | Smash 0.006
LaMelo Ball (CHA)
$8600 | 48.6 FP | P8x 3.6% | P10x 0.5% | GPP 85.69 | Smash 0.020
Darius Garland (LAC)
$7800 | 45.0 FP | P8x 5.8% | P10x 0.5% | GPP 85.21 | Smash 0.031
High-Variance / BOOM
Hybrid model: injury/news context + probability tail + smash/value
FanDuel
Player Pos Salary Base Adj P7x P8x P9x P10x Smash Conf Reasons
Jay Huff IND C $4700 5.81x 7.49x 59.1% 34.9% 18.2% 7.7% 0.175 MED
0.734		 minutes spike; frontcourt thin; high total
De'Aaron Fox SAS PG $7500 5.15x 6.82x 24.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.060 HIGH
0.922		 usage vacuum; high total
Jarace Walker IND PF $6600 4.18x 5.35x 7.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.019 HIGH
0.759		 rebound vacuum; minutes spike; frontcourt thin; high total
Marcus Smart LAL SG $4500 5.53x 5.92x 22.0% 14.1% 6.5% 2.5% 0.035 LOW
0.511		 competitive spread; backcourt minutes open
Devin Vassell SAS SF $5300 5.62x 6.66x 32.8% 10.8% 3.0% 0.5% 0.053 MED
0.742		 high total; stacked absences
Darius Garland LAC PG $7100 5.45x 6.03x 13.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.027 HIGH
0.844		 usage vacuum; high total
Luka Doncic LAL PG $12700 4.02x 4.30x 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.002 HIGH
0.823		 usage vacuum; competitive spread
James Harden CLE PG $9500 4.57x 5.02x 2.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.005 HIGH
0.810		 high total; usage vacuum
Brook Lopez LAC C $4200 6.33x 6.91x 35.5% 8.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.078 HIGH
0.853		 high total
Bam Adebayo MIA C $8700 5.14x 5.43x 7.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.009 HIGH
0.805		 competitive spread; Norman Powell out
DraftKings
Player Pos Salary Base Adj P7x P8x P9x P10x Smash Conf Reasons
De'Aaron Fox SAS PG $7300 5.44x 7.14x 60.2% 5.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.148 HIGH
0.923		 usage vacuum; high total
Jarace Walker IND SF $6600 4.34x 5.53x 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.011 HIGH
0.887		 rebound vacuum; frontcourt thin; minutes spike; high total
Dylan Harper SAS PG $4500 5.42x 6.58x 41.7% 9.9% 7.1% 2.4% 0.056 MED
0.665		 high total; backcourt minutes open
Devin Vassell SAS SF $5200 5.90x 7.01x 49.3% 8.7% 3.9% 0.7% 0.076 HIGH
0.770		 high total; stacked absences
Walter Clayton MEM PG $4300 7.18x 7.26x 53.6% 15.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.040 MED
0.744		 backcourt minutes open; starter out on team
Jay Huff IND C $6500 4.03x 5.28x 5.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.015 HIGH
0.820		 frontcourt thin; minutes spike; high total
James Harden CLE PG $9400 4.94x 5.43x 11.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.022 MED
0.730		 high total; usage vacuum
Luka Doncic LAL PG $12300 4.40x 4.80x 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.006 HIGH
0.832		 usage vacuum; competitive spread
Amen Thompson HOU PG $8200 5.25x 5.98x 17.4% 4.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.025 HIGH
0.786		 competitive spread; rebound vacuum
Darius Garland LAC PG $7800 5.27x 5.77x 15.6% 5.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.031 HIGH
0.768		 usage vacuum; high total


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