NBA Main Board

NBA Main Board

Consolidated pre-lock board. Base anchors the projection, Snapshot shows tonight-only opportunity, Proof shows player-history support, and XGBoost drives the final upside rank. Use the tracker buttons to open the chosen lineup in the live tracker.
Last Updated: Apr 10, 2026 3:53:02 PM EDT

DraftKings

Snapshot date 2026-04-10 | model global_xgboost | train 5807 | holdout 814
Scored Players
130
Top Upside Tags
18
Avg Model Delta
-1.09
Avg Over Prob
29.0%
Avg Final Rank
-0.36
Tracked Cash Lineup
Best stable build from the consolidated score. Cash removes insufficient-history, hard-downside, and hard negative-XGB / no-opportunity rows.
Track Cash Lineup
Score 229.26 | Base 240.96 | ML Mid 236.54 | ML Range 220.58-281.50 | Salary $49,000 | Own 46.9%
PF
Upside Only
Kyle Kuzma
MIL vs BKN | PF
History shows soft upside only.
Base 26.77 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -0.18 / 30.4%
26.75 ML mid
$6,500 | Base 26.77 | Range 25.22-39.37
-0.18 XGB
Over 30.4% | Snap 0.00
soft upside only
C
Strong Pool
Bam Adebayo
MIA vs WAS | C
Model projects modest upside.
Base 46.52 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +1.32 / 32.2%
47.58 ML mid
$9,300 | Base 46.52 | Range 45.16-57.75
+1.32 XGB
Over 32.2% | Snap 0.00
neutral / near base
SF
Value Only
Julian Champagnie
SAS vs DAL | SF
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 24.45 | Snapshot +0.01 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +0.19 / 28.7%
24.39 ML mid
$5,500 | Base 24.45 | Range 21.71-25.24
+0.19 XGB
Over 28.7% | Snap +0.01
neutral / near base
F
Value Only
Tristan da Silva
ORL vs CHI | SF
Model projects modest upside.
Base 19.80 | Snapshot -0.20 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +1.25 / 31.6%
20.62 ML mid
$4,700 | Base 19.80 | Range 17.21-21.89
+1.25 XGB
Over 31.6% | Snap -0.20
neutral / near base
PG
Strong Pool
Jeremiah Fears
NOP vs BOS | PG
Small opportunity bump, history shows soft upside only.
Base 37.23 | Snapshot +1.62 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -0.58 / 31.6%
38.08 ML mid
$7,100 | Base 37.23 | Range 35.20-48.45
-0.58 XGB
Over 31.6% | Snap +1.62
soft upside only
SG
Value Only
Collin Sexton
CHI vs ORL | SG
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 35.10 | Snapshot -11.59 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +0.35 / 32.2%
29.64 ML mid
$6,600 | Base 35.10 | Range 29.64-30.63
+0.35 XGB
Over 32.2% | Snap -11.59
neutral / near base
G
Value Only
Jamir Watkins
WAS vs MIA | SG
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 25.74 | Snapshot +0.61 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.82 / 25.6%
25.13 ML mid
$5,000 | Base 25.74 | Range 23.21-27.69
-0.82 XGB
Over 25.6% | Snap +0.61
neutral / near base
UTIL
Value Only
Rob Dillingham
CHI vs ORL | PG
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 25.35 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.74 / 30.3%
24.35 ML mid
$4,300 | Base 25.35 | Range 23.23-30.48
-0.74 XGB
Over 30.3% | Snap 0.00
neutral / near base
Tracked Cash Alternates
Best swap paths if you want to move off the primary cash build.
PG
Strong Pool
Cooper Flagg
DAL vs SAS
Base 37.83 | Snapshot -16.15 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +6.51 / 28.5%
30.70
$9,700
Model projects clear upside.
SG
Strong Pool
Brandon Ingram
TOR vs NYK
Base 36.53 | Snapshot +0.85 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -2.60 / 29.6%
33.87
$7,900
Small opportunity bump.
SG
Value Only
Kon Knueppel
CHA vs DET
Base 30.13 | Snapshot +0.12 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.32 / 30.5%
28.20
$6,300
Best stable fit for this build.
SG
Strong Pool
Ousmane Dieng
MIL vs BKN
Base 28.50 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.80 / 34.1%
27.01
$7,200
Usable over probability.
SG
Value Only
Jaime Jaquez
MIA vs WAS
Base 23.90 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +0.97 / 33.8%
24.26
$5,300
Usable over probability.
PG
Upside Only
Dylan Harper
SAS vs DAL
Base 23.13 | Snapshot +0.90 | Proof soft upside only | XGB +0.41 / 30.1%
24.02
$6,000
Small opportunity bump, history shows soft upside only.
Tracked GPP Lineup
Best upside build from the consolidated score. GPP keeps volatility, but still removes dead negative-XGB filler and weak insufficient-history rows.
Track GPP Lineup
Score 319.82 | Base 285.63 | ML Mid 282.67 | ML Range 265.75-337.85 | Salary $50,000 | Own 41.8%
PF
Strong Pool
Derik Queen
NOP vs BOS | PF
Real opportunity bump, history shows soft upside only.
Base 41.48 | Snapshot +3.48 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -3.88 / 27.7%
55.40 ML high
$6,100 | Base 41.48 | Range 35.92-55.40
-3.88 XGB
Over 27.7% | Lev 1.38
soft upside only
C
Strong Pool
Bam Adebayo
MIA vs WAS | C
Model projects modest upside.
Base 46.52 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB +1.32 / 32.2%
57.75 ML high
$9,300 | Base 46.52 | Range 45.16-57.75
+1.32 XGB
Over 32.2% | Lev 1.34
neutral / near base
SF
Strong Pool
Leonard Miller
CHI vs ORL | SF
Best upside fit for this build.
Base 33.06 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.64 / 32.1%
33.70 ML high
$5,300 | Base 33.06 | Range 31.02-33.70
-0.64 XGB
Over 32.1% | Lev 1.74
neutral / near base
SG
Value Only
Pelle Larsson
MIA vs WAS | SG
Best upside fit for this build.
Base 27.63 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.30 / 30.8%
35.06 ML high
$5,100 | Base 27.63 | Range 26.00-35.06
-0.30 XGB
Over 30.8% | Lev 1.69
neutral / near base
PG
Strong Pool
Tyrese Maxey
PHI vs IND | PG
Small opportunity bump.
Base 49.88 | Snapshot +0.87 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -2.12 / 28.0%
51.31 ML high
$9,500 | Base 49.88 | Range 46.15-51.31
-2.12 XGB
Over 28.0% | Lev 0.97
neutral / near base
F
Value Only
Simone Fontecchio
MIA vs WAS | PF
Best upside fit for this build.
Base 24.48 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history | XGB +0.57 / 32.5%
25.70 ML high
$3,300 | Base 24.48 | Range 23.07-25.70
+0.57 XGB
Over 32.5% | Lev 1.70
insufficient history
G
Value Only
Rob Dillingham
CHI vs ORL | PG
Best upside fit for this build.
Base 25.35 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.74 / 30.3%
30.48 ML high
$4,300 | Base 25.35 | Range 23.23-30.48
-0.74 XGB
Over 30.3% | Lev 1.70
neutral / near base
UTIL
Strong Pool
Jeremiah Fears
NOP vs BOS | PG
Small opportunity bump, history shows soft upside only.
Base 37.23 | Snapshot +1.62 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -0.58 / 31.6%
48.45 ML high
$7,100 | Base 37.23 | Range 35.20-48.45
-0.58 XGB
Over 31.6% | Lev 1.69
soft upside only
Tracked GPP Alternates
Best upside swap paths if you want to move off the primary GPP build.
PF
Strong Pool
Jalen Johnson
ATL vs CLE
Base 50.51 | Snapshot +0.07 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -1.31 / 27.2%
51.67
$10,500
History shows soft upside only.
PG
Strong Pool
Jalen Brunson
NYK vs TOR
Base 43.07 | Snapshot +2.84 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.08 / 28.4%
48.86
$9,400
Real opportunity bump.
PF
Strong Pool
Karl-Anthony Towns
NYK vs TOR
Base 46.48 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.61 / 33.5%
49.70
$9,200
Usable over probability.
PG
Strong Pool
De'Aaron Fox
SAS vs DAL
Base 36.10 | Snapshot +4.06 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.49 / 28.5%
43.03
$7,500
Real opportunity bump.
C
Strong Pool
Jalen Duren
DET vs CHA
Base 38.72 | Snapshot -0.04 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -1.34 / 24.7%
40.37
$8,100
History shows soft upside only.
PG
Strong Pool
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL vs CLE
Base 38.39 | Snapshot +0.10 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.73 / 27.5%
39.34
$7,200
Best upside fit for this build.

Top Upside Board

Bam Adebayo
MIA vs WAS | C | $9,300
Show details
Base46.52
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+1.32
Over %32.2%
GPP53.13
upside
Final Rank2.49
Base46.52
Snapshot FP46.52
Model FP47.84
Cash Score47.15
GPP Score53.13
Mixed Prob33.7%
Under Prob34.1%
Minutes34.10
Usage25.1%
Proof Mid Δ+6.94
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling67.85
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +6.94 | XGBoost +1.32
Proof support: neutral / near base: confirmed_news: Low [lift +0.15, n=10]; Usage x Minutes: 25%-29.9% usage + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.15, n=5]; home_away: Away [lift +0.08, n=9]; beneficiary: Medium [lift +0.08, n=6]; blowout: Low [lift +0.08, n=6]
Cooper Flagg
DAL vs SAS | PG | $9,700
Show details
Base37.83
Snap Δ-16.15
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+6.51
Over %28.5%
GPP36.85
upside
Final Rank7.19
Base37.83
Snapshot FP21.68
Model FP44.34
Cash Score30.70
GPP Score36.85
Mixed Prob35.2%
Under Prob36.3%
Minutes34.01
Usage26.7%
Proof Mid Δ-2.32
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling57.97
Smash0.007
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot -16.15 | Proof neutral / near base -2.32 | XGBoost +6.51
Proof support: neutral / near base: home_away: Away [lift +0.20, n=8]; moneyline: Big underdog [lift +0.18, n=5]
Cormac Ryan
MIL vs BKN | SG | $4,800
Show details
Base26.44
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+1.48
Over %30.5%
GPP32.85
upside
Final Rank2.47
Base26.44
Snapshot FP26.44
Model FP27.92
Cash Score27.23
GPP Score32.85
Mixed Prob35.3%
Under Prob34.2%
Minutes26.62
Usage19.2%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling42.70
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.25
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +1.48
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Andre Drummond
PHI vs IND | C | $4,200
Show details
Base26.58
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.82
Over %30.8%
GPP32.24
upside
Final Rank1.77
Base26.58
Snapshot FP26.58
Model FP27.40
Cash Score26.69
GPP Score32.24
Mixed Prob33.6%
Under Prob35.6%
Minutes25.92
Usage14.8%
Proof Mid Δ+0.76
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling43.37
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.36
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +0.76 | XGBoost +0.82
Proof support: neutral / near base: Usage x Minutes: < 20% usage + < 26 min [lift +0.10, n=3]; proj_usage: < 20% usage [lift +0.10, n=3]; role_confirmation: Low [lift +0.10, n=3]; recent_usage: < 20% usage [lift +0.10, n=3]; archetype: Fragile [lift +0.10, n=3]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.10, n=3]
Keldon Johnson
SAS vs DAL | SG | $5,400
Show details
Base22.50
Snap Δ+3.37
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+2.05
Over %30.0%
GPP31.35
upside
Final Rank3.03
Base22.50
Snapshot FP25.87
Model FP24.55
Cash Score26.57
GPP Score31.35
Mixed Prob36.4%
Under Prob33.6%
Minutes24.16
Usage20.8%
Proof Mid Δ+1.26
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling38.14
Smash0.020
GPP Bonus3.25
Snapshot +3.37 | Proof neutral / near base +1.26 | XGBoost +2.05
Proof support: neutral / near base: Beneficiary x Recent Minutes: Medium + < 26 min [lift +0.10, n=4]; beneficiary: Medium [lift +0.10, n=4]; beneficiary_minutes: Low [lift +0.10, n=4]
Goga Bitadze
ORL vs CHI | C | $3,900
Show details
Base24.68
Snap Δ+0.35
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.18
Over %31.3%
GPP30.84
upside
Final Rank1.52
Base24.68
Snapshot FP25.03
Model FP24.86
Cash Score24.55
GPP Score30.84
Mixed Prob38.9%
Under Prob29.8%
Minutes21.00
Usage13.4%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling44.99
Smash0.038
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +0.35 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.18
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Franz Wagner
ORL vs CHI | SF | $6,700
Show details
Base26.54
Snap Δ-0.06
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.39
Over %30.7%
GPP30.54
upside
Final Rank1.47
Base26.54
Snapshot FP26.48
Model FP26.93
Cash Score26.22
GPP Score30.54
Mixed Prob36.1%
Under Prob33.2%
Minutes23.00
Usage26.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling37.68
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus2.26
Snapshot -0.06 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.39
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Simone Fontecchio
MIA vs WAS | PF | $3,300
Show details
Base24.48
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.57
Over %32.5%
GPP30.06
upside
Final Rank1.69
Base24.48
Snapshot FP24.48
Model FP25.05
Cash Score24.34
GPP Score30.06
Mixed Prob32.2%
Under Prob35.3%
Minutes27.44
Usage19.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling41.35
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.37
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.57
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Kasparas Jakucionis
MIA vs WAS | PG | $4,000
Show details
Base24.06
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.07
Over %34.4%
GPP30.02
upside
Final Rank1.42
Base24.06
Snapshot FP24.06
Model FP23.99
Cash Score23.34
GPP Score30.02
Mixed Prob33.1%
Under Prob32.5%
Minutes27.90
Usage13.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling52.81
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -0.07
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Jaime Jaquez
MIA vs WAS | SG | $5,300
Show details
Base23.90
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.97
Over %33.8%
GPP28.74
upside
Final Rank2.54
Base23.90
Snapshot FP23.90
Model FP24.87
Cash Score24.26
GPP Score28.74
Mixed Prob36.1%
Under Prob30.1%
Minutes20.94
Usage22.3%
Proof Mid Δ+0.30
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling33.30
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus1.88
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +0.30 | XGBoost +0.97
Proof support: neutral / near base: Stud x Usage x Environment: Mid base + 20%-24.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.40, n=4]; proj_minutes: < 26 min [lift +0.32, n=6]; Injury Bonus x Role: Low + Low [lift +0.32, n=6]; Smash Tail x Role: Weak + Low [lift +0.22, n=7]; beneficiary: Medium [lift +0.32, n=6]; blowout: Low [lift +0.32, n=6]
Quentin Grimes
PHI vs IND | PG | $5,200
Show details
Base23.16
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.70
Over %31.3%
GPP27.62
upside
Final Rank1.87
Base23.16
Snapshot FP23.16
Model FP23.86
Cash Score23.21
GPP Score27.62
Mixed Prob36.1%
Under Prob32.6%
Minutes25.16
Usage19.0%
Proof Mid Δ+1.97
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf28.0%
Ceiling34.43
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.25
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +1.97 | XGBoost +0.70
Proof support: neutral / near base: dvp: Strong positive DvP [lift +0.42, n=3]; Smash Tail x Role: Weak + Low [lift +0.08, n=3]; Injury Bonus x Role: Low + Low [lift +0.08, n=3]; role_confirmation: Low [lift +0.08, n=3]; archetype: Wing [lift +0.08, n=3]; role_strength: Low [lift +0.08, n=3]
Dylan Harper
SAS vs DAL | PG | $6,000
Show details
Base23.13
Snap Δ+0.90
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ+0.41
Over %30.1%
GPP27.57
upside
Final Rank1.46
Base23.13
Snapshot FP24.03
Model FP23.54
Cash Score24.02
GPP Score27.57
Mixed Prob37.2%
Under Prob32.7%
Minutes24.67
Usage21.9%
Proof Mid Δ+7.92
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling29.16
Smash0.003
GPP Bonus1.22
Snapshot +0.90 | Proof soft upside only +7.92 | XGBoost +0.41
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: Ceiling x Minutes: Low ceiling + < 26 min [lift +0.55, n=3]; Stud x Usage x Environment: Mid base + 20%-24.9% usage + Neutral game [lift +0.55, n=2]; proj_minutes: < 26 min [lift +0.28, n=11]; Usage x Minutes: 20%-24.9% usage + < 26 min [lift +0.30, n=4]; Base x Ceiling: Mid base + Low ceiling [lift +0.15, n=5]; salary: Medium [lift +0.15, n=5]
Collin Sexton
CHI vs ORL | SG | $6,600
Show details
Base35.10
Snap Δ-11.59
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.35
Over %32.2%
GPP27.30
upside
Final Rank1.47
Base35.10
Snapshot FP23.51
Model FP35.45
Cash Score25.48
GPP Score27.30
Mixed Prob32.7%
Under Prob35.1%
Minutes36.80
Usage25.7%
Proof Mid Δ+2.03
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling30.63
Smash0.001
GPP Bonus0.01
Snapshot -11.59 | Proof neutral / near base +2.03 | XGBoost +0.35
Proof support: neutral / near base: Stud x Usage x Environment: High base + 25%-29.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.22, n=3]; recent_form: Medium [lift +0.22, n=6]; recent_usage: 25%-29.9% usage [lift +0.22, n=6]; Base x Smash Tail: High base + Weak [lift +0.22, n=3]; base_tier: High base [lift +0.12, n=7]
Tristan da Silva
ORL vs CHI | SF | $4,700
Show details
Base19.80
Snap Δ-0.20
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+1.25
Over %31.6%
GPP25.06
upside
Final Rank2.23
Base19.80
Snapshot FP19.60
Model FP21.05
Cash Score20.17
GPP Score25.06
Mixed Prob32.2%
Under Prob36.3%
Minutes22.00
Usage16.4%
Proof Mid Δ-1.07
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling31.71
Smash0.009
GPP Bonus2.44
Snapshot -0.20 | Proof neutral / near base -1.07 | XGBoost +1.25
Proof support: neutral / near base: Smash Tail x Role: Weak + Low [lift +0.22, n=6]; Injury Bonus x Role: Low + Low [lift +0.22, n=6]; role_confirmation: Low [lift +0.22, n=6]; archetype: Wing [lift +0.22, n=6]; role_strength: Low [lift +0.22, n=6]; ceiling: Strong ceiling [lift +0.15, n=5]
Taurean Prince
MIL vs BKN | SF | $4,800
Show details
Base19.81
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.80
Over %29.5%
GPP23.22
upside
Final Rank1.67
Base19.81
Snapshot FP19.81
Model FP20.61
Cash Score19.92
GPP Score23.22
Mixed Prob35.6%
Under Prob34.9%
Minutes25.09
Usage15.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling25.34
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus1.11
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.80
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Baylor Scheierman
BOS vs NOP | SG | $4,400
Show details
Base18.44
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.77
Over %31.4%
GPP23.06
upside
Final Rank1.95
Base18.44
Snapshot FP18.44
Model FP19.21
Cash Score18.56
GPP Score23.06
Mixed Prob35.9%
Under Prob32.7%
Minutes28.27
Usage11.4%
Proof Mid Δ-3.04
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling28.72
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.06
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -3.04 | XGBoost +0.77
Proof support: neutral / near base: moneyline: Strong favorite [lift +0.15, n=5]
Lachlan Olbrich
CHI vs ORL | C | $3,500
Show details
Base18.22
Snap Δ-0.41
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.52
Over %31.1%
GPP20.32
upside
Final Rank1.55
Base18.22
Snapshot FP17.81
Model FP18.74
Cash Score17.72
GPP Score20.32
Mixed Prob34.2%
Under Prob34.7%
Minutes19.33
Usage13.5%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling27.84
Smash0.010
GPP Bonus1.98
Snapshot -0.41 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.52
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Sion James
CHA vs DET | SF | $4,000
Show details
Base12.11
Snap Δ-0.04
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ+0.84
Over %31.7%
GPP14.62
upside
Final Rank2.01
Base12.11
Snapshot FP12.07
Model FP12.95
Cash Score12.63
GPP Score14.62
Mixed Prob35.0%
Under Prob33.3%
Minutes18.00
Usage10.9%
Proof Mid Δ+8.10
Proof Adj+0.38
Proof Conf50.8%
Ceiling18.83
Smash0.002
GPP Bonus1.36
Snapshot -0.04 | Proof soft upside only +8.10 | XGBoost +0.84
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: Usage x Minutes: < 20% usage + < 26 min [lift +0.46, n=4]; Smash Tail x Role: Weak + Low [lift +0.46, n=4]; Beneficiary x Recent Minutes: Medium + < 26 min [lift +0.46, n=4]; Injury Bonus x Role: Low + Low [lift +0.46, n=4]; Base x Ceiling: Low base + Strong ceiling [lift +0.38, n=3]; Ceiling x Minutes: Strong ceiling + < 26 min [lift +0.38, n=3]

Middle / Volatile Board

Jalen Johnson
ATL vs CLE | PF | $10,500
Show details
Base50.51
Snap Δ+0.07
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-1.31
Over %27.2%
GPP51.67
volatile
Final Rank-0.97
Base50.51
Snapshot FP50.58
Model FP49.20
Cash Score48.84
GPP Score51.67
Mixed Prob33.1%
Under Prob39.7%
Minutes37.00
Usage27.0%
Proof Mid Δ+6.75
Proof Adj+0.38
Proof Conf50.3%
Ceiling55.95
Smash0.004
GPP Bonus1.11
Snapshot +0.07 | Proof soft upside only +6.75 | XGBoost -1.31
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: recent_minutes: 32-35.9 min [lift +0.20, n=5]
Tyrese Maxey
PHI vs IND | PG | $9,500
Show details
Base49.88
Snap Δ+0.87
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.12
Over %28.0%
GPP51.26
volatile
Final Rank-1.73
Base49.88
Snapshot FP50.75
Model FP47.76
Cash Score47.66
GPP Score51.26
Mixed Prob31.8%
Under Prob40.2%
Minutes37.27
Usage29.4%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling60.16
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus2.08
Snapshot +0.87 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -2.12
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Karl-Anthony Towns
NYK vs TOR | PF | $9,200
Show details
Base46.48
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.61
Over %33.5%
GPP49.70
volatile
Final Rank0.54
Base46.48
Snapshot FP46.48
Model FP45.87
Cash Score45.14
GPP Score49.70
Mixed Prob29.8%
Under Prob36.8%
Minutes32.91
Usage25.9%
Proof Mid Δ-1.61
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling62.15
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.13
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -1.61 | XGBoost -0.61
Proof support: neutral / near base: home_away: Home [lift +0.22, n=8]; Usage x Minutes: 25%-29.9% usage + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.27, n=3]
Jalen Brunson
NYK vs TOR | PG | $9,400
Show details
Base43.07
Snap Δ+2.84
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.08
Over %28.4%
GPP48.86
volatile
Final Rank-0.48
Base43.07
Snapshot FP45.91
Model FP41.99
Cash Score43.51
GPP Score48.86
Mixed Prob34.3%
Under Prob37.3%
Minutes37.59
Usage30.3%
Proof Mid Δ+1.19
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling61.97
Smash0.016
GPP Bonus3.87
Snapshot +2.84 | Proof neutral / near base +1.19 | XGBoost -1.08
Proof support: neutral / near base: Stud x Usage x Environment: Stud base + 30%+ usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.10, n=4]; Archetype x Environment: General + Competitive / close [lift +0.10, n=4]; Usage x Environment: 30%+ usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.10, n=4]; game_environment: Competitive / close [lift +0.10, n=4]; competitiveness: High [lift +0.10, n=4]
Paolo Banchero
ORL vs CHI | PF | $8,900
Show details
Base45.70
Snap Δ+0.03
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.56
Over %28.5%
GPP48.73
volatile
Final Rank-0.94
Base45.70
Snapshot FP45.73
Model FP44.14
Cash Score43.42
GPP Score48.73
Mixed Prob34.2%
Under Prob37.3%
Minutes35.00
Usage27.5%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling64.00
Smash0.023
GPP Bonus3.80
Snapshot +0.03 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -1.56
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
LaMelo Ball
CHA vs DET | PG | $8,800
Show details
Base43.93
Snap Δ+0.16
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.12
Over %27.3%
GPP44.65
volatile
Final Rank-0.73
Base43.93
Snapshot FP44.09
Model FP42.81
Cash Score42.15
GPP Score44.65
Mixed Prob33.7%
Under Prob39.0%
Minutes33.00
Usage31.9%
Proof Mid Δ-2.13
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling50.15
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus1.27
Snapshot +0.16 | Proof neutral / near base -2.13 | XGBoost -1.12
Proof support: neutral / near base: home_away: Home [lift +0.14, n=13]
Cade Cunningham
DET vs CHA | PG | $10,200
Show details
Base40.94
Snap Δ+0.02
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.39
Over %26.3%
GPP43.50
volatile
Final Rank-1.03
Base40.94
Snapshot FP40.96
Model FP39.55
Cash Score38.81
GPP Score43.50
Mixed Prob35.7%
Under Prob37.9%
Minutes28.19
Usage30.6%
Proof Mid Δ-1.25
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling57.01
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus3.25
Snapshot +0.02 | Proof neutral / near base -1.25 | XGBoost -1.39
Proof support: neutral / near base: floor_value: Medium [lift +0.12, n=3]; ceiling: Good ceiling [lift +0.12, n=3]
De'Aaron Fox
SAS vs DAL | PG | $7,500
Show details
Base36.10
Snap Δ+4.06
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.49
Over %28.5%
GPP43.03
volatile
Final Rank0.19
Base36.10
Snapshot FP40.16
Model FP35.61
Cash Score38.13
GPP Score43.03
Mixed Prob35.2%
Under Prob36.2%
Minutes30.90
Usage24.9%
Proof Mid Δ-3.63
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling52.10
Smash0.026
GPP Bonus3.36
Snapshot +4.06 | Proof neutral / near base -3.63 | XGBoost -0.49
Proof support: neutral / near base: Ceiling x Minutes: Good ceiling + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.12, n=8]; Base x Ceiling: High base + Good ceiling [lift +0.08, n=9]; proj_minutes: 26-31.9 min [lift +0.08, n=12]; ceiling: Good ceiling [lift +0.08, n=9]; home_away: Home [lift +0.08, n=12]
Scottie Barnes
TOR vs NYK | PF | $8,700
Show details
Base40.65
Snap Δ+0.01
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.45
Over %30.2%
GPP42.51
volatile
Final Rank-1.70
Base40.65
Snapshot FP40.66
Model FP38.20
Cash Score37.45
GPP Score42.51
Mixed Prob31.9%
Under Prob37.8%
Minutes35.00
Usage23.5%
Proof Mid Δ+0.20
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling56.69
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.21
Snapshot +0.01 | Proof neutral / near base +0.20 | XGBoost -2.45
Proof support: neutral / near base: blowout: Low [lift +0.08, n=6]
Jeremiah Fears
NOP vs BOS | PG | $7,100
Show details
Base37.23
Snap Δ+1.62
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-0.58
Over %31.6%
GPP42.24
volatile
Final Rank0.41
Base37.23
Snapshot FP38.85
Model FP36.65
Cash Score37.63
GPP Score42.24
Mixed Prob32.1%
Under Prob36.3%
Minutes37.76
Usage25.2%
Proof Mid Δ+7.96
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling48.45
Smash0.006
GPP Bonus2.28
Snapshot +1.62 | Proof soft upside only +7.96 | XGBoost -0.58
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: proj_usage: 25%-29.9% usage [lift +0.55, n=4]; blowout: Low [lift +0.35, n=5]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.22, n=6]; ceiling: Good ceiling [lift +0.15, n=5]; team_rank_gap: Opponent better-ranked [lift +0.15, n=5]; home_away: Away [lift +0.11, n=9]
Derrick White
BOS vs NOP | PG | $7,600
Show details
Base40.78
Snap Δ-0.66
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.79
Over %30.0%
GPP41.31
volatile
Final Rank-0.93
Base40.78
Snapshot FP40.12
Model FP38.99
Cash Score37.75
GPP Score41.31
Mixed Prob34.3%
Under Prob35.7%
Minutes38.78
Usage22.0%
Proof Mid Δ+2.18
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling49.05
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus1.68
Snapshot -0.66 | Proof neutral / near base +2.18 | XGBoost -1.79
Proof support: neutral / near base: proj_minutes: 36+ min [lift +0.40, n=5]; home_away: Home [lift +0.10, n=12]; dvp: Negative DvP [lift +0.10, n=8]
Paul George
PHI vs IND | SF | $8,300
Show details
Base37.67
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-0.83
Over %29.5%
GPP40.99
volatile
Final Rank-0.05
Base37.67
Snapshot FP37.67
Model FP36.84
Cash Score36.12
GPP Score40.99
Mixed Prob34.6%
Under Prob36.0%
Minutes33.30
Usage23.4%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling56.04
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.67
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -0.83
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Jalen Duren
DET vs CHA | C | $8,100
Show details
Base38.72
Snap Δ-0.04
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-1.34
Over %24.7%
GPP40.37
volatile
Final Rank-1.30
Base38.72
Snapshot FP38.68
Model FP37.38
Cash Score36.95
GPP Score40.37
Mixed Prob34.7%
Under Prob40.6%
Minutes31.00
Usage23.6%
Proof Mid Δ+6.47
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling47.58
Smash0.004
GPP Bonus1.79
Snapshot -0.04 | Proof soft upside only +6.47 | XGBoost -1.34
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: Ceiling x Minutes: Low ceiling + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.55, n=3]; Beneficiary x Recent Minutes: Medium + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.30, n=4]; dvp: Negative DvP [lift +0.22, n=6]; ceiling: Low ceiling [lift +0.22, n=6]; floor_value: Strong [lift +0.19, n=14]; proj_minutes: 26-31.9 min [lift +0.11, n=9]
Andrew Wiggins
MIA vs WAS | PF | $5,800
Show details
Base37.17
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.39
Over %29.2%
GPP39.99
volatile
Final Rank-0.46
Base37.17
Snapshot FP37.17
Model FP35.78
Cash Score35.11
GPP Score39.99
Mixed Prob37.8%
Under Prob33.0%
Minutes33.62
Usage19.7%
Proof Mid Δ-0.59
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling52.70
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.11
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -0.59 | XGBoost -1.39
Proof support: neutral / near base: proj_minutes: 32-35.9 min [lift +0.22, n=8]
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL vs CLE | PG | $7,200
Show details
Base38.39
Snap Δ+0.10
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.73
Over %27.5%
GPP39.34
volatile
Final Rank-1.28
Base38.39
Snapshot FP38.49
Model FP36.66
Cash Score35.98
GPP Score39.34
Mixed Prob34.1%
Under Prob38.4%
Minutes37.00
Usage24.0%
Proof Mid Δ+1.62
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling46.25
Smash0.009
GPP Bonus1.63
Snapshot +0.10 | Proof neutral / near base +1.62 | XGBoost -1.73
Proof support: neutral / near base: Stud x Usage x Environment: High base + 20%-24.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.22, n=6]; Usage x Environment: 20%-24.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.22, n=6]; team_rank_gap: Opponent better-ranked [lift +0.35, n=5]; game_environment: Competitive / close [lift +0.22, n=6]; competitiveness: High [lift +0.22, n=6]; blowout: Low [lift +0.22, n=6]
Brandon Ingram
TOR vs NYK | SG | $7,900
Show details
Base36.53
Snap Δ+0.85
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.60
Over %29.6%
GPP39.31
volatile
Final Rank-1.86
Base36.53
Snapshot FP37.38
Model FP33.93
Cash Score33.87
GPP Score39.31
Mixed Prob33.3%
Under Prob37.1%
Minutes35.92
Usage27.0%
Proof Mid Δ-1.94
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling55.47
Smash0.008
GPP Bonus3.83
Snapshot +0.85 | Proof neutral / near base -1.94 | XGBoost -2.60
Proof support: neutral / near base: recent_form: Medium [lift +0.25, n=4]; recent_usage: 25%-29.9% usage [lift +0.25, n=4]; Usage x Minutes: 25%-29.9% usage + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.15, n=5]; proj_usage: 25%-29.9% usage [lift +0.15, n=5]; archetype: General [lift +0.15, n=5]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.15, n=5]
VJ Edgecombe
PHI vs IND | PG | $7,300
Show details
Base37.28
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.80
Over %29.5%
GPP38.95
volatile
Final Rank-1.06
Base37.28
Snapshot FP37.28
Model FP35.48
Cash Score34.74
GPP Score38.95
Mixed Prob33.7%
Under Prob36.8%
Minutes37.23
Usage20.1%
Proof Mid Δ+1.33
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling47.56
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.06
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +1.33 | XGBoost -1.80
Proof support: neutral / near base: blowout: Low [lift +0.25, n=6]; proj_usage: 20%-24.9% usage [lift +0.18, n=7]; recent_form: Low [lift +0.18, n=7]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.18, n=7]; dvp: Strong positive DvP [lift +0.25, n=4]; floor_value: Strong [lift +0.11, n=11]
Brandon Miller
CHA vs DET | SF | $7,300
Show details
Base36.81
Snap Δ+0.12
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.54
Over %28.7%
GPP38.80
volatile
Final Rank-0.96
Base36.81
Snapshot FP36.93
Model FP35.27
Cash Score34.60
GPP Score38.80
Mixed Prob33.2%
Under Prob38.1%
Minutes34.00
Usage28.0%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling46.69
Smash0.009
GPP Bonus2.03
Snapshot +0.12 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -1.54
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.

Downside Risk Board

Dean Wade
CLE vs ATL | SF | $3,400
Show details
Base17.34
Snap Δ+0.04
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.48
Over %27.2%
GPP18.71
downside
Final Rank-2.09
Base17.34
Snapshot FP17.38
Model FP14.86
Cash Score14.11
GPP Score18.71
Mixed Prob34.1%
Under Prob38.8%
Minutes22.02
Usage10.0%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling29.32
Smash0.026
GPP Bonus2.55
Snapshot +0.04 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -2.48
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Khris Middleton
DAL vs SAS | SF | $4,100
Show details
Base21.21
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.56
Over %24.4%
GPP20.92
downside
Final Rank-2.44
Base21.21
Snapshot FP21.21
Model FP18.65
Cash Score17.88
GPP Score20.92
Mixed Prob36.9%
Under Prob38.7%
Minutes20.57
Usage22.1%
Proof Mid Δ+2.12
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling30.31
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus1.82
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +2.12 | XGBoost -2.56
Proof support: neutral / near base: Base x Ceiling: Mid base + Good ceiling [lift +0.10, n=5]
Keon Ellis
CLE vs ATL | SF | $4,300
Show details
Base24.18
Snap Δ+0.22
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-3.93
Over %26.3%
GPP24.22
downside
Final Rank-3.61
Base24.18
Snapshot FP24.40
Model FP20.25
Cash Score19.65
GPP Score24.22
Mixed Prob35.3%
Under Prob38.4%
Minutes31.01
Usage12.4%
Proof Mid Δ-0.22
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling36.43
Smash0.028
GPP Bonus2.62
Snapshot +0.22 | Proof neutral / near base -0.22 | XGBoost -3.93
Proof support: neutral / near base: Usage x Minutes: < 20% usage + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.20, n=4]; dvp: Negative DvP [lift +0.23, n=9]; proj_minutes: 26-31.9 min [lift +0.15, n=10]; base_tier: Mid base [lift +0.09, n=11]
Tyson Etienne
BKN vs MIL | PG | $3,600
Show details
Base26.96
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.85
Over %30.5%
GPP27.08
downside
Final Rank-2.02
Base26.96
Snapshot FP26.96
Model FP24.11
Cash Score23.37
GPP Score27.08
Mixed Prob32.6%
Under Prob36.9%
Minutes31.07
Usage19.8%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling34.10
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus1.43
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.85
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Moussa Cisse
DAL vs SAS | C | $3,700
Show details
Base22.99
Snap Δ+5.95
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.47
Over %26.2%
GPP27.99
downside
Final Rank-3.29
Base22.99
Snapshot FP28.94
Model FP19.52
Cash Score23.47
GPP Score27.99
Mixed Prob33.1%
Under Prob40.7%
Minutes25.69
Usage13.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling44.67
Smash0.106
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +5.95 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.47
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Ryan Nembhard
DAL vs SAS | PG | $4,400
Show details
Base27.27
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.41
Over %26.1%
GPP28.40
downside
Final Rank-2.00
Base27.27
Snapshot FP27.27
Model FP24.86
Cash Score24.13
GPP Score28.40
Mixed Prob37.2%
Under Prob36.6%
Minutes31.45
Usage17.5%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling38.61
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.27
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.41
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Micah Peavy
NOP vs BOS | SF | $4,500
Show details
Base27.00
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.43
Over %27.7%
GPP28.67
downside
Final Rank-1.90
Base27.00
Snapshot FP27.00
Model FP24.57
Cash Score23.82
GPP Score28.67
Mixed Prob34.8%
Under Prob37.5%
Minutes36.28
Usage14.2%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling40.59
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.72
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.43
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Kevon Looney
NOP vs BOS | C | $4,000
Show details
Base30.09
Snap Δ+0.01
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.30
Over %27.6%
GPP31.57
downside
Final Rank-2.91
Base30.09
Snapshot FP30.10
Model FP26.79
Cash Score26.01
GPP Score31.57
Mixed Prob32.8%
Under Prob39.5%
Minutes30.00
Usage10.4%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling48.67
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.72
Snapshot +0.01 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.30
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
RJ Barrett
TOR vs NYK | SF | $7,700
Show details
Base34.53
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.87
Over %25.2%
GPP33.70
downside
Final Rank-2.76
Base34.53
Snapshot FP34.53
Model FP31.66
Cash Score30.86
GPP Score33.70
Mixed Prob34.9%
Under Prob40.0%
Minutes33.70
Usage25.7%
Proof Mid Δ+0.27
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling41.12
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus1.32
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +0.27 | XGBoost -2.87
Proof support: neutral / near base: Stud x Usage x Environment: High base + 25%-29.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.20, n=4]; recent_form: Medium [lift +0.28, n=6]; recent_usage: 25%-29.9% usage [lift +0.28, n=6]; Usage x Minutes: 25%-29.9% usage + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.16, n=7]; home_away: Away [lift +0.15, n=10]; Archetype x Environment: General + Competitive / close [lift +0.20, n=4]
Malachi Smith
BKN vs MIL | PG | $4,200
Show details
Base32.39
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.02
Over %28.3%
GPP33.83
downside
Final Rank-2.47
Base32.39
Snapshot FP32.39
Model FP29.37
Cash Score28.61
GPP Score33.83
Mixed Prob33.8%
Under Prob38.0%
Minutes35.34
Usage14.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling48.20
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.16
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.02
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
E.J. Liddell
BKN vs MIL | C | $4,000
Show details
Base30.52
Snap Δ+5.11
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-4.56
Over %22.6%
GPP34.79
downside
Final Rank-5.24
Base30.52
Snapshot FP35.63
Model FP25.96
Cash Score29.07
GPP Score34.79
Mixed Prob28.3%
Under Prob49.1%
Minutes34.16
Usage16.5%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling42.76
Smash0.274
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +5.11 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -4.56
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Trevon Scott
BKN vs MIL | PF | $4,200
Show details
Base34.90
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.50
Over %27.3%
GPP34.95
downside
Final Rank-3.25
Base34.90
Snapshot FP34.90
Model FP31.40
Cash Score30.57
GPP Score34.95
Mixed Prob31.2%
Under Prob41.5%
Minutes37.62
Usage12.8%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling46.65
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.35
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.50
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Jordan Poole
NOP vs BOS | PG | $5,000
Show details
Base35.26
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.44
Over %29.8%
GPP36.21
downside
Final Rank-2.81
Base35.26
Snapshot FP35.26
Model FP31.82
Cash Score31.04
GPP Score36.21
Mixed Prob31.1%
Under Prob39.2%
Minutes33.62
Usage25.2%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling52.87
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.52
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.44
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Will Riley
WAS vs MIA | SF | $6,800
Show details
Base33.76
Snap Δ0.00
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-2.81
Over %27.5%
GPP36.66
downside
Final Rank-2.23
Base33.76
Snapshot FP33.76
Model FP30.95
Cash Score30.64
GPP Score36.66
Mixed Prob36.3%
Under Prob36.2%
Minutes33.73
Usage20.1%
Proof Mid Δ+2.56
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling57.34
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only +2.56 | XGBoost -2.81
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: game_environment: Competitive / close [lift +0.37, n=3]; competitiveness: High [lift +0.37, n=3]; blowout: Low [lift +0.37, n=3]; team_rank_gap: Opponent better-ranked [lift +0.20, n=6]; recent_usage: < 20% usage [lift +0.20, n=6]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.20, n=6]
Evan Mobley
CLE vs ATL | PF | $8,500
Show details
Base45.05
Snap Δ+0.10
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-3.55
Over %27.2%
GPP44.81
downside
Final Rank-3.20
Base45.05
Snapshot FP45.15
Model FP41.50
Cash Score40.79
GPP Score44.81
Mixed Prob33.3%
Under Prob39.5%
Minutes32.00
Usage22.5%
Proof Mid Δ-4.02
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling59.10
Smash0.016
GPP Bonus2.91
Snapshot +0.10 | Proof neutral / near base -4.02 | XGBoost -3.55
Proof support: neutral / near base: proj_minutes: 32-35.9 min [lift +0.15, n=12]; Ceiling x Minutes: Good ceiling + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.24, n=4]; Base x Ceiling: Stud base + Good ceiling [lift +0.14, n=5]; Base x Smash Tail: Stud base + Weak [lift +0.09, n=14]
Julian Reese
WAS vs MIA | C | $6,000
Show details
Base40.10
Snap Δ+4.74
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.15
Over %22.9%
GPP45.43
downside
Final Rank-3.94
Base40.10
Snapshot FP44.84
Model FP36.95
Cash Score39.71
GPP Score45.43
Mixed Prob25.5%
Under Prob51.5%
Minutes37.07
Usage18.1%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling65.72
Smash0.138
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +4.74 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.15
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Derik Queen
NOP vs BOS | PF | $6,100
Show details
Base41.48
Snap Δ+3.48
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-3.88
Over %27.7%
GPP45.90
downside
Final Rank-3.63
Base41.48
Snapshot FP44.96
Model FP37.60
Cash Score39.96
GPP Score45.90
Mixed Prob30.3%
Under Prob42.0%
Minutes36.61
Usage21.6%
Proof Mid Δ+5.43
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling61.55
Smash0.107
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +3.48 | Proof soft upside only +5.43 | XGBoost -3.88
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: blowout: Low [lift +0.35, n=5]
James Harden
CLE vs ATL | PG | $8,600
Show details
Base46.76
Snap Δ+0.05
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-4.07
Over %27.8%
GPP46.18
downside
Final Rank-3.66
Base46.76
Snapshot FP46.81
Model FP42.69
Cash Score41.94
GPP Score46.18
Mixed Prob32.8%
Under Prob39.4%
Minutes34.05
Usage23.7%
Proof Mid Δ-0.99
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling60.87
Smash0.024
GPP Bonus2.96
Snapshot +0.05 | Proof neutral / near base -0.99 | XGBoost -4.07
Proof support: neutral / near base: confirmed_news: Low [lift +0.21, n=9]

FanDuel

Snapshot date 2026-04-10 | model global_xgboost | train 6011 | holdout 844
Scored Players
157
Top Upside Tags
22
Avg Model Delta
-1.44
Avg Over Prob
29.4%
Avg Final Rank
-0.76
Tracked Cash Lineup
Best stable build from the consolidated score. Cash removes insufficient-history, hard-downside, and hard negative-XGB / no-opportunity rows.
Track Cash Lineup
Score 262.00 | Base 274.23 | ML Mid 266.09 | ML Range 248.72-322.20 | Salary $59,900 | Own 54.8%
C
Strong Pool
Bam Adebayo
MIA vs WAS | C
History shows soft upside only.
Base 45.61 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only | XGB +0.24 / 32.3%
46.00 ML mid
$9,500 | Base 45.61 | Range 44.19-56.12
+0.24 XGB
Over 32.3% | Snap 0.00
soft upside only
PF1
Strong Pool
Jalen Johnson
ATL vs CLE | PF
Usable over probability.
Base 49.26 | Snapshot +0.06 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.28 / 33.2%
47.76 ML mid
$10,600 | Base 49.26 | Range 43.81-49.99
-1.28 XGB
Over 33.2% | Snap +0.06
neutral / near base
PF2
Value Only
Tobias Harris
DET vs CHA | PF
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 24.95 | Snapshot +0.07 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.11 / 30.2%
23.63 ML mid
$5,500 | Base 24.95 | Range 22.46-32.35
-1.11 XGB
Over 30.2% | Snap +0.07
neutral / near base
SF1
Strong Pool
Cody Williams
UTA vs MEM | SF
History shows soft upside only, usable over probability.
Base 32.05 | Snapshot +0.06 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -1.76 / 33.1%
30.45 ML mid
$6,100 | Base 32.05 | Range 28.83-43.21
-1.76 XGB
Over 33.1% | Snap +0.06
soft upside only
SF2
Value Only
Kevin Huerter
DET vs CHA | SF
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 16.28 | Snapshot -2.62 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.28 / 30.4%
13.71 ML mid
$4,400 | Base 16.28 | Range 13.71-20.68
-0.28 XGB
Over 30.4% | Snap -2.62
neutral / near base
SG1
Value Only
Julian Champagnie
SAS vs DAL | SG
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 23.58 | Snapshot +0.01 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.12 / 28.9%
23.21 ML mid
$5,000 | Base 23.58 | Range 21.50-27.20
-0.12 XGB
Over 28.9% | Snap +0.01
neutral / near base
SG2
Upside Only
Ja'Kobe Walter
TOR vs NYK | SG
Small opportunity bump.
Base 22.21 | Snapshot +1.76 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -2.07 / 30.4%
21.25 ML mid
$4,700 | Base 22.21 | Range 18.58-26.26
-2.07 XGB
Over 30.4% | Snap +1.76
neutral / near base
PG1
Strong Pool
Jalen Brunson
NYK vs TOR | PG
Real opportunity bump.
Base 41.49 | Snapshot +2.75 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.51 / 28.7%
41.89 ML mid
$9,100 | Base 41.49 | Range 38.46-47.00
-1.51 XGB
Over 28.7% | Snap +2.75
neutral / near base
PG2
Value Only
Anthony Black
ORL vs CHI | PG
Best stable fit for this build.
Base 18.80 | Snapshot -0.25 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.14 / 29.7%
18.19 ML mid
$5,000 | Base 18.80 | Range 17.18-19.39
-0.14 XGB
Over 29.7% | Snap -0.25
neutral / near base
Tracked Cash Alternates
Best swap paths if you want to move off the primary cash build.
PG
Strong Pool
Tyrese Maxey
PHI vs IND
Base 48.61 | Snapshot +1.17 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.65 / 28.2%
47.17
$10,300
Small opportunity bump.
SF
Strong Pool
Kevin Durant
HOU vs MIN
Base 40.40 | Snapshot +1.90 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.19 / 27.1%
40.04
$9,300
Small opportunity bump.
PG
Strong Pool
LaMelo Ball
CHA vs DET
Base 41.09 | Snapshot +0.15 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.91 / 31.1%
39.53
$9,200
Best stable fit for this build.
PG
Strong Pool
Cade Cunningham
DET vs CHA
Base 39.26 | Snapshot +0.02 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.39 / 31.1%
37.12
$8,800
Best stable fit for this build.
PG
Strong Pool
Cooper Flagg
DAL vs SAS
Base 37.73 | Snapshot -16.05 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.76 / 34.5%
23.46
$10,500
Usable over probability.
SG
Strong Pool
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
ATL vs CLE
Base 37.02 | Snapshot +0.10 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.91 / 30.9%
34.47
$7,400
Best stable fit for this build.
Tracked GPP Lineup
Best upside build from the consolidated score. GPP keeps volatility, but still removes dead negative-XGB filler and weak insufficient-history rows.
Track GPP Lineup
Score 361.27 | Base 324.70 | ML Mid 320.47 | ML Range 297.17-408.51 | Salary $59,700 | Own 52.3%
C
Strong Pool
Oscar Tshiebwe
UTA vs MEM | C
Small opportunity bump.
Base 36.41 | Snapshot +0.83 | Proof insufficient history | XGB +0.71 / 31.0%
38.57 ML high
$4,400 | Base 36.41 | Range 34.92-38.57
+0.71 XGB
Over 31.0% | Lev 1.68
insufficient history
PF1
Strong Pool
Julian Reese
WAS vs MIA | PF
Real opportunity bump.
Base 39.76 | Snapshot +4.77 | Proof insufficient history | XGB -0.96 / 28.4%
45.10 ML high
$7,000 | Base 39.76 | Range 37.16-45.10
-0.96 XGB
Over 28.4% | Lev 1.39
insufficient history
PF2
Strong Pool
Derik Queen
NOP vs BOS | PF
Real opportunity bump.
Base 41.87 | Snapshot +3.51 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -2.87 / 30.8%
50.93 ML high
$6,700 | Base 41.87 | Range 37.38-50.93
-2.87 XGB
Over 30.8% | Lev 1.51
neutral / near base
PG1
Strong Pool
Tyrese Maxey
PHI vs IND | PG
Small opportunity bump.
Base 48.61 | Snapshot +1.17 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.65 / 28.2%
58.73 ML high
$10,300 | Base 48.61 | Range 45.50-58.73
-1.65 XGB
Over 28.2% | Lev 0.09
neutral / near base
PG2
Strong Pool
Jeremiah Fears
NOP vs BOS | PG
Small opportunity bump, history shows soft upside only.
Base 35.99 | Snapshot +1.70 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -2.63 / 29.5%
52.88 ML high
$7,700 | Base 35.99 | Range 31.84-52.88
-2.63 XGB
Over 29.5% | Lev 1.38
soft upside only
SG1
Strong Pool
VJ Edgecombe
PHI vs IND | SG
History shows soft upside only, usable over probability.
Base 36.94 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -1.52 / 33.3%
45.56 ML high
$7,100 | Base 36.94 | Range 34.05-45.56
-1.52 XGB
Over 33.3% | Lev 1.92
soft upside only
SG2
Strong Pool
Ayo Dosunmu
MIN vs HOU | SG
History shows soft upside only.
Base 31.19 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -1.16 / 30.1%
46.48 ML high
$6,800 | Base 31.19 | Range 28.56-46.48
-1.16 XGB
Over 30.1% | Lev 1.73
soft upside only
SF1
Value Only
Klay Thompson
DAL vs SAS | SF
Best upside fit for this build.
Base 21.29 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -0.86 / 29.4%
26.28 ML high
$4,000 | Base 21.29 | Range 18.78-26.28
-0.86 XGB
Over 29.4% | Lev 1.69
neutral / near base
SF2
Strong Pool
John Konchar
UTA vs MEM | SF
History shows soft upside only.
Base 32.64 | Snapshot +0.24 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -2.14 / 28.4%
43.98 ML high
$5,700 | Base 32.64 | Range 28.98-43.98
-2.14 XGB
Over 28.4% | Lev 1.63
soft upside only
Tracked GPP Alternates
Best upside swap paths if you want to move off the primary GPP build.
C
Strong Pool
Bam Adebayo
MIA vs WAS
Base 45.61 | Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only | XGB +0.24 / 32.3%
51.22
$9,500
History shows soft upside only.
PF
Strong Pool
Jalen Johnson
ATL vs CLE
Base 49.26 | Snapshot +0.06 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.28 / 33.2%
52.52
$10,600
Usable over probability.
PG
Strong Pool
Jalen Brunson
NYK vs TOR
Base 41.49 | Snapshot +2.75 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.51 / 28.7%
45.46
$9,100
Real opportunity bump.
SG
Strong Pool
Amen Thompson
HOU vs MIN
Base 43.47 | Snapshot +0.90 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.80 / 25.2%
46.47
$9,000
Small opportunity bump.
SF
Strong Pool
Kevin Durant
HOU vs MIN
Base 40.40 | Snapshot +1.90 | Proof neutral / near base | XGB -1.19 / 27.1%
43.81
$9,300
Small opportunity bump.
C
Strong Pool
Jalen Duren
DET vs CHA
Base 38.50 | Snapshot -0.04 | Proof soft upside only | XGB -1.50 / 30.6%
41.44
$8,400
History shows soft upside only.

Top Upside Board

Bam Adebayo
MIA vs WAS | C | $9,500
Show details
Base45.61
Snap Δ0.00
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ+0.24
Over %32.3%
GPP51.22
upside
Final Rank1.34
Base45.61
Snapshot FP45.61
Model FP45.85
Cash Score45.55
GPP Score51.22
Mixed Prob32.2%
Under Prob35.5%
Minutes34.03
Usage25.1%
Proof Mid Δ+6.85
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling61.43
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.16
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof soft upside only +6.85 | XGBoost +0.24
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: Ceiling x Minutes: Good ceiling + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.22, n=8]
Alperen Sengun
HOU vs MIN | C | $9,500
Show details
Base41.30
Snap Δ+0.33
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.22
Over %29.5%
GPP45.20
upside
Final Rank0.60
Base41.30
Snapshot FP41.63
Model FP41.08
Cash Score40.63
GPP Score45.20
Mixed Prob35.1%
Under Prob35.4%
Minutes32.70
Usage26.7%
Proof Mid Δ-3.87
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling52.74
Smash0.001
GPP Bonus2.29
Snapshot +0.33 | Proof neutral / near base -3.87 | XGBoost -0.22
Proof support: neutral / near base: game_total: Medium [lift +0.10, n=8]; moneyline: Strong favorite [lift +0.18, n=3]
Oscar Tshiebwe
UTA vs MEM | C | $4,400
Show details
Base36.41
Snap Δ+0.83
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.71
Over %31.0%
GPP42.84
upside
Final Rank1.56
Base36.41
Snapshot FP37.24
Model FP37.12
Cash Score37.04
GPP Score42.84
Mixed Prob31.7%
Under Prob37.4%
Minutes27.00
Usage16.0%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling51.13
Smash0.094
GPP Bonus3.51
Snapshot +0.83 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.71
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Desmond Bane
ORL vs CHI | SG | $7,400
Show details
Base34.38
Snap Δ-0.03
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.02
Over %30.0%
GPP36.80
upside
Final Rank0.80
Base34.38
Snapshot FP34.35
Model FP34.40
Cash Score33.63
GPP Score36.80
Mixed Prob33.0%
Under Prob37.0%
Minutes32.00
Usage23.4%
Proof Mid Δ-2.85
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling46.89
Smash0.008
GPP Bonus2.55
Snapshot -0.03 | Proof neutral / near base -2.85 | XGBoost +0.02
Proof support: neutral / near base: moneyline: Strong favorite [lift +0.15, n=5]
Pelle Larsson
MIA vs WAS | SF | $5,400
Show details
Base26.83
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.04
Over %29.9%
GPP30.68
upside
Final Rank0.74
Base26.83
Snapshot FP26.83
Model FP26.79
Cash Score26.05
GPP Score30.68
Mixed Prob33.4%
Under Prob36.7%
Minutes32.41
Usage16.6%
Proof Mid Δ-0.55
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling38.40
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.31
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -0.55 | XGBoost -0.04
Proof support: neutral / near base: Base x Ceiling: Mid base + Good ceiling [lift +0.10, n=8]; ceiling: Good ceiling [lift +0.10, n=8]
Franz Wagner
ORL vs CHI | SF | $5,600
Show details
Base26.33
Snap Δ-0.05
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+1.23
Over %29.5%
GPP30.37
upside
Final Rank2.06
Base26.33
Snapshot FP26.28
Model FP27.56
Cash Score26.81
GPP Score30.37
Mixed Prob35.1%
Under Prob35.4%
Minutes23.00
Usage26.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling37.38
Smash0.014
GPP Bonus2.29
Snapshot -0.05 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +1.23
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Wendell Carter
ORL vs CHI | C | $5,200
Show details
Base25.82
Snap Δ-0.03
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.08
Over %29.9%
GPP29.89
upside
Final Rank0.97
Base25.82
Snapshot FP25.79
Model FP25.90
Cash Score25.17
GPP Score29.89
Mixed Prob35.2%
Under Prob35.0%
Minutes27.00
Usage15.7%
Proof Mid Δ+0.68
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling39.68
Smash0.027
GPP Bonus2.94
Snapshot -0.03 | Proof neutral / near base +0.68 | XGBoost +0.08
Proof support: neutral / near base: Ceiling x Minutes: Strong ceiling + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.30, n=5]; ceiling: Strong ceiling [lift +0.30, n=5]; dvp: Strong positive DvP [lift +0.25, n=4]; Base x Ceiling: Mid base + Strong ceiling [lift +0.17, n=3]; game_total: High [lift +0.17, n=6]; spread: Wide spread [lift +0.10, n=5]
Goga Bitadze
ORL vs CHI | C | $4,300
Show details
Base25.19
Snap Δ+0.36
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ+0.03
Over %29.6%
GPP29.81
upside
Final Rank0.95
Base25.19
Snapshot FP25.55
Model FP25.22
Cash Score24.83
GPP Score29.81
Mixed Prob36.4%
Under Prob34.0%
Minutes21.00
Usage13.4%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling39.44
Smash0.026
GPP Bonus3.00
Snapshot +0.36 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost +0.03
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Cooper Flagg
DAL vs SAS | PG | $10,500
Show details
Base37.73
Snap Δ-16.05
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.76
Over %34.5%
GPP29.78
upside
Final Rank0.69
Base37.73
Snapshot FP21.68
Model FP36.97
Cash Score23.46
GPP Score29.78
Mixed Prob32.2%
Under Prob33.3%
Minutes34.08
Usage26.7%
Proof Mid Δ-0.49
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling58.48
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot -16.05 | Proof neutral / near base -0.49 | XGBoost -0.76
Proof support: neutral / near base: game_total: High [lift +0.10, n=8]; spread: Wide spread [lift +0.10, n=6]
Jaime Jaquez
MIA vs WAS | SF | $6,200
Show details
Base23.77
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+1.05
Over %30.6%
GPP28.90
upside
Final Rank2.10
Base23.77
Snapshot FP23.77
Model FP24.82
Cash Score24.15
GPP Score28.90
Mixed Prob36.0%
Under Prob33.4%
Minutes20.94
Usage22.3%
Proof Mid Δ-1.16
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling35.91
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.43
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -1.16 | XGBoost +1.05
Proof support: neutral / near base: Injury Bonus x Role: Low + Low [lift +0.32, n=6]; beneficiary: Medium [lift +0.32, n=6]; blowout: Low [lift +0.32, n=6]; beneficiary_minutes: Low [lift +0.32, n=6]; Usage x Environment: 20%-24.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.25, n=5]; Smash Tail x Role: Weak + Low [lift +0.22, n=7]
Keldon Johnson
SAS vs DAL | SF | $5,200
Show details
Base21.75
Snap Δ+2.56
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ+1.27
Over %30.7%
GPP28.87
upside
Final Rank2.38
Base21.75
Snapshot FP24.31
Model FP23.02
Cash Score24.83
GPP Score28.87
Mixed Prob36.7%
Under Prob32.6%
Minutes23.70
Usage20.8%
Proof Mid Δ+3.85
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling35.44
Smash0.015
GPP Bonus2.83
Snapshot +2.56 | Proof soft upside only +3.85 | XGBoost +1.27
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: Usage x Minutes: 20%-24.9% usage + < 26 min [lift +0.15, n=5]; team_rank_gap: Huge edge [lift +0.15, n=5]; dvp: Strong positive DvP [lift +0.15, n=5]; archetype: Wing [lift +0.15, n=5]; recent_usage: 20%-24.9% usage [lift +0.15, n=5]; home_away: Home [lift +0.11, n=11]
Kasparas Jakucionis
MIA vs WAS | PG | $4,100
Show details
Base23.27
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.28
Over %29.9%
GPP28.14
upside
Final Rank0.62
Base23.27
Snapshot FP23.27
Model FP22.99
Cash Score22.30
GPP Score28.14
Mixed Prob35.3%
Under Prob34.8%
Minutes27.92
Usage13.7%
Proof Mid Δ+0.74
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling41.51
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.65
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +0.74 | XGBoost -0.28
Proof support: neutral / near base: ceiling: Elite ceiling [lift +0.17, n=7]; team_total: High [lift +0.10, n=4]
Dylan Harper
SAS vs DAL | SG | $6,400
Show details
Base22.25
Snap Δ+1.21
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-0.41
Over %32.6%
GPP27.87
upside
Final Rank0.90
Base22.25
Snapshot FP23.46
Model FP21.84
Cash Score22.57
GPP Score27.87
Mixed Prob35.1%
Under Prob32.4%
Minutes24.97
Usage21.9%
Proof Mid Δ+6.95
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling36.04
Smash0.003
GPP Bonus2.77
Snapshot +1.21 | Proof soft upside only +6.95 | XGBoost -0.41
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: game_total: High [lift +0.30, n=5]; proj_minutes: < 26 min [lift +0.23, n=11]; team_rank_gap: Huge edge [lift +0.30, n=5]; recent_usage: 20%-24.9% usage [lift +0.30, n=5]; Usage x Minutes: 20%-24.9% usage + < 26 min [lift +0.25, n=4]; team_total: High [lift +0.17, n=6]
Julian Champagnie
SAS vs DAL | SG | $5,000
Show details
Base23.58
Snap Δ+0.01
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.12
Over %28.9%
GPP26.91
upside
Final Rank0.70
Base23.58
Snapshot FP23.59
Model FP23.46
Cash Score22.78
GPP Score26.91
Mixed Prob36.7%
Under Prob34.5%
Minutes27.00
Usage15.2%
Proof Mid Δ-0.70
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling36.14
Smash0.020
GPP Bonus2.63
Snapshot +0.01 | Proof neutral / near base -0.70 | XGBoost -0.12
Proof support: neutral / near base: moneyline: Strong favorite [lift +0.33, n=6]; spread: Wide spread [lift +0.25, n=4]; schedule_density: Normal [lift +0.09, n=17]
Quentin Grimes
PHI vs IND | SG | $5,700
Show details
Base22.53
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+0.19
Over %29.1%
GPP26.19
upside
Final Rank0.96
Base22.53
Snapshot FP22.53
Model FP22.72
Cash Score22.01
GPP Score26.19
Mixed Prob35.2%
Under Prob35.7%
Minutes25.16
Usage19.0%
Proof Mid Δ-4.42
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling35.18
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.53
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -4.42 | XGBoost +0.19
Proof support: neutral / near base: floor_value: Medium [lift +0.12, n=8]; archetype: Wing [lift +0.08, n=3]; team_total: High [lift +0.08, n=3]
Tristan da Silva
ORL vs CHI | SF | $4,400
Show details
Base19.39
Snap Δ-0.19
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ+1.60
Over %30.5%
GPP24.74
upside
Final Rank2.60
Base19.39
Snapshot FP19.20
Model FP20.99
Cash Score20.15
GPP Score24.74
Mixed Prob35.3%
Under Prob34.2%
Minutes22.00
Usage16.4%
Proof Mid Δ+1.85
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling30.30
Smash0.010
GPP Bonus2.24
Snapshot -0.19 | Proof neutral / near base +1.85 | XGBoost +1.60
Proof support: neutral / near base: Usage x Environment: < 20% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.10, n=5]; Archetype x Environment: Wing + Competitive / close [lift +0.20, n=4]; game_environment: Competitive / close [lift +0.10, n=5]; competitiveness: High [lift +0.10, n=5]
Anthony Black
ORL vs CHI | PG | $5,000
Show details
Base18.80
Snap Δ-0.25
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.14
Over %29.7%
GPP22.95
upside
Final Rank0.74
Base18.80
Snapshot FP18.55
Model FP18.66
Cash Score17.76
GPP Score22.95
Mixed Prob35.6%
Under Prob34.7%
Minutes18.00
Usage22.2%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf8.7%
Ceiling33.20
Smash0.008
GPP Bonus2.93
Snapshot -0.25 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -0.14
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Coby White
CHA vs DET | SG | $4,800
Show details
Base18.44
Snap Δ-0.03
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-0.21
Over %30.9%
GPP22.88
upside
Final Rank0.84
Base18.44
Snapshot FP18.41
Model FP18.23
Cash Score17.94
GPP Score22.88
Mixed Prob35.0%
Under Prob34.1%
Minutes19.00
Usage32.0%
Proof Mid Δ+4.38
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling30.97
Smash0.006
GPP Bonus2.54
Snapshot -0.03 | Proof soft upside only +4.38 | XGBoost -0.21
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: spread: Medium spread [lift +0.45, n=4]; Ceiling x Minutes: Strong ceiling + < 26 min [lift +0.27, n=7]; ceiling: Strong ceiling [lift +0.27, n=7]; team_total: Medium [lift +0.37, n=3]; home_away: Home [lift +0.15, n=11]; confirmed_news: Low [lift +0.15, n=11]

Middle / Volatile Board

Jalen Johnson
ATL vs CLE | PF | $10,600
Show details
Base49.26
Snap Δ+0.06
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.28
Over %33.2%
GPP52.52
volatile
Final Rank-0.16
Base49.26
Snapshot FP49.32
Model FP47.98
Cash Score47.30
GPP Score52.52
Mixed Prob30.1%
Under Prob36.7%
Minutes37.00
Usage27.0%
Proof Mid Δ-3.98
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling62.43
Smash0.003
GPP Bonus2.65
Snapshot +0.06 | Proof neutral / near base -3.98 | XGBoost -1.28
Proof support: neutral / near base: Stud x Usage x Environment: Stud base + 25%-29.9% usage + Competitive / close [lift +0.25, n=5]; team_total: High [lift +0.40, n=4]; dvp: Strong positive DvP [lift +0.25, n=5]; game_total: High [lift +0.15, n=4]
Tyrese Maxey
PHI vs IND | PG | $10,300
Show details
Base48.61
Snap Δ+1.17
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.65
Over %28.2%
GPP49.86
volatile
Final Rank-1.02
Base48.61
Snapshot FP49.78
Model FP46.96
Cash Score47.17
GPP Score49.86
Mixed Prob35.2%
Under Prob36.6%
Minutes37.27
Usage29.4%
Proof Mid Δ+3.26
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling58.73
Smash0.002
GPP Bonus2.04
Snapshot +1.17 | Proof neutral / near base +3.26 | XGBoost -1.65
Proof support: neutral / near base: team_total: High [lift +0.08, n=3]
Karl-Anthony Towns
NYK vs TOR | C | $8,900
Show details
Base44.79
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.78
Over %30.8%
GPP47.81
volatile
Final Rank-1.08
Base44.79
Snapshot FP44.79
Model FP43.01
Cash Score42.22
GPP Score47.81
Mixed Prob29.6%
Under Prob39.6%
Minutes32.91
Usage25.9%
Proof Mid Δ+1.19
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling60.86
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.21
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base +1.19 | XGBoost -1.78
Proof support: neutral / near base: Ceiling x Minutes: Good ceiling + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.35, n=5]; home_away: Home [lift +0.26, n=7]; Base x Ceiling: Stud base + Good ceiling [lift +0.22, n=6]; ceiling: Good ceiling [lift +0.26, n=7]; Usage x Minutes: 25%-29.9% usage + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.22, n=3]; game_total: Medium [lift +0.12, n=7]
Julian Reese
WAS vs MIA | PF | $7,000
Show details
Base39.76
Snap Δ+4.77
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-0.96
Over %28.4%
GPP47.71
volatile
Final Rank-0.59
Base39.76
Snapshot FP44.53
Model FP38.80
Cash Score41.79
GPP Score47.71
Mixed Prob30.6%
Under Prob41.1%
Minutes37.13
Usage18.1%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling57.75
Smash0.060
GPP Bonus3.96
Snapshot +4.77 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -0.96
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Paolo Banchero
ORL vs CHI | PF | $9,200
Show details
Base44.11
Snap Δ+0.03
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.66
Over %28.5%
GPP46.70
volatile
Final Rank-0.97
Base44.11
Snapshot FP44.14
Model FP42.45
Cash Score41.75
GPP Score46.70
Mixed Prob35.4%
Under Prob36.1%
Minutes35.00
Usage27.5%
Proof Mid Δ+2.15
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling57.65
Smash0.006
GPP Bonus2.75
Snapshot +0.03 | Proof neutral / near base +2.15 | XGBoost -1.66
Proof support: neutral / near base: team_total: High [lift +0.32, n=3]; spread: Wide spread [lift +0.25, n=5]
Amen Thompson
HOU vs MIN | SG | $9,000
Show details
Base43.47
Snap Δ+0.90
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.80
Over %25.2%
GPP46.47
volatile
Final Rank-1.39
Base43.47
Snapshot FP44.37
Model FP41.67
Cash Score41.68
GPP Score46.47
Mixed Prob39.8%
Under Prob35.1%
Minutes39.59
Usage19.9%
Proof Mid Δ-4.50
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf31.2%
Ceiling57.55
Smash0.006
GPP Bonus2.85
Snapshot +0.90 | Proof neutral / near base -4.50 | XGBoost -1.80
Proof support: neutral / near base: moneyline: Strong favorite [lift +0.15, n=4]
Evan Mobley
CLE vs ATL | PF | $8,700
Show details
Base44.83
Snap Δ+0.10
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.74
Over %30.7%
GPP46.11
volatile
Final Rank-1.03
Base44.83
Snapshot FP44.93
Model FP43.09
Cash Score42.38
GPP Score46.11
Mixed Prob29.9%
Under Prob39.4%
Minutes32.00
Usage22.5%
Proof Mid Δ+1.30
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling58.65
Smash0.011
GPP Bonus2.83
Snapshot +0.10 | Proof neutral / near base +1.30 | XGBoost -1.74
Proof support: neutral / near base: proj_minutes: 32-35.9 min [lift +0.16, n=13]; game_total: High [lift +0.27, n=7]; Ceiling x Minutes: Good ceiling + 32-35.9 min [lift +0.20, n=4]
Jalen Brunson
NYK vs TOR | PG | $9,100
Show details
Base41.49
Snap Δ+2.75
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.51
Over %28.7%
GPP45.46
volatile
Final Rank-0.93
Base41.49
Snapshot FP44.24
Model FP39.98
Cash Score41.42
GPP Score45.46
Mixed Prob33.2%
Under Prob38.1%
Minutes37.59
Usage30.3%
Proof Mid Δ-0.42
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling58.52
Smash0.010
GPP Bonus3.47
Snapshot +2.75 | Proof neutral / near base -0.42 | XGBoost -1.51
Proof support: neutral / near base: Base x Ceiling: Stud base + Good ceiling [lift +0.50, n=3]; Ceiling x Minutes: Good ceiling + 36+ min [lift +0.25, n=4]; ceiling: Good ceiling [lift +0.25, n=4]; schedule_density: B2B [lift +0.50, n=3]; game_total: Medium [lift +0.17, n=6]; team_total: Medium [lift +0.17, n=3]
James Harden
CLE vs ATL | PG | $9,100
Show details
Base43.94
Snap Δ+0.05
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.74
Over %34.3%
GPP45.15
volatile
Final Rank-0.55
Base43.94
Snapshot FP43.99
Model FP42.20
Cash Score41.49
GPP Score45.15
Mixed Prob28.3%
Under Prob37.4%
Minutes34.05
Usage23.7%
Proof Mid Δ+1.74
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling58.51
Smash0.009
GPP Bonus2.97
Snapshot +0.05 | Proof neutral / near base +1.74 | XGBoost -1.74
Proof support: neutral / near base: home_away: Away [lift +0.15, n=10]
Kevin Durant
HOU vs MIN | SF | $9,300
Show details
Base40.40
Snap Δ+1.90
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.19
Over %27.1%
GPP43.81
volatile
Final Rank-0.53
Base40.40
Snapshot FP42.30
Model FP39.21
Cash Score40.04
GPP Score43.81
Mixed Prob38.6%
Under Prob34.2%
Minutes38.31
Usage27.1%
Proof Mid Δ+1.42
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling56.40
Smash0.004
GPP Bonus3.22
Snapshot +1.90 | Proof neutral / near base +1.42 | XGBoost -1.19
Proof support: neutral / near base: Beneficiary x Recent Minutes: Medium + 36+ min [lift +0.75, n=3]; Archetype x Environment: General + Neutral game [lift +0.25, n=6]; Usage x Environment: 25%-29.9% usage + Neutral game [lift +0.25, n=6]; competitiveness: Medium [lift +0.35, n=5]; recent_minutes: 36+ min [lift +0.32, n=7]; blowout: Medium [lift +0.15, n=5]
Scottie Barnes
TOR vs NYK | PF | $9,800
Show details
Base40.42
Snap Δ+0.01
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.35
Over %30.7%
GPP43.14
volatile
Final Rank-1.57
Base40.42
Snapshot FP40.43
Model FP38.07
Cash Score37.31
GPP Score43.14
Mixed Prob31.0%
Under Prob38.3%
Minutes35.00
Usage23.5%
Proof Mid Δ+0.54
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling57.66
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.45
Snapshot +0.01 | Proof neutral / near base +0.54 | XGBoost -2.35
Proof support: neutral / near base: proj_usage: 20%-24.9% usage [lift +0.09, n=7]; archetype: General [lift +0.09, n=7]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.09, n=7]; game_total: Medium [lift +0.09, n=7]; blowout: Low [lift +0.13, n=6]; moneyline: Underdog [lift +0.13, n=3]
LaMelo Ball
CHA vs DET | PG | $9,200
Show details
Base41.09
Snap Δ+0.15
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.91
Over %31.1%
GPP43.09
volatile
Final Rank-0.13
Base41.09
Snapshot FP41.24
Model FP40.18
Cash Score39.53
GPP Score43.09
Mixed Prob30.1%
Under Prob38.8%
Minutes33.00
Usage31.9%
Proof Mid Δ-2.79
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling55.65
Smash0.005
GPP Bonus2.94
Snapshot +0.15 | Proof neutral / near base -2.79 | XGBoost -0.91
Proof support: neutral / near base: game_total: Medium [lift +0.65, n=4]; team_total: Medium [lift +0.65, n=3]; spread: Medium spread [lift +0.15, n=4]
Jahmai Mashack
MEM vs UTA | SG | $4,200
Show details
Base34.52
Snap Δ+5.26
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.22
Over %30.8%
GPP41.85
volatile
Final Rank-1.31
Base34.52
Snapshot FP39.78
Model FP32.30
Cash Score35.78
GPP Score41.85
Mixed Prob33.3%
Under Prob36.0%
Minutes35.14
Usage15.6%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling52.85
Smash0.173
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +5.26 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.22
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
De'Aaron Fox
SAS vs DAL | PG | $7,900
Show details
Base35.17
Snap Δ+4.42
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-0.86
Over %30.7%
GPP41.81
volatile
Final Rank0.09
Base35.17
Snapshot FP39.59
Model FP34.31
Cash Score37.14
GPP Score41.81
Mixed Prob33.9%
Under Prob35.4%
Minutes31.11
Usage24.9%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling54.05
Smash0.021
GPP Bonus3.90
Snapshot +4.42 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -0.86
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Cade Cunningham
DET vs CHA | PG | $8,800
Show details
Base39.26
Snap Δ+0.02
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-1.39
Over %31.1%
GPP41.53
volatile
Final Rank-0.59
Base39.26
Snapshot FP39.28
Model FP37.87
Cash Score37.12
GPP Score41.53
Mixed Prob30.5%
Under Prob38.5%
Minutes28.19
Usage30.6%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf28.4%
Ceiling55.93
Smash0.009
GPP Bonus3.39
Snapshot +0.02 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -1.39
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Jalen Duren
DET vs CHA | C | $8,400
Show details
Base38.50
Snap Δ-0.04
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-1.50
Over %30.6%
GPP41.44
volatile
Final Rank-0.82
Base38.50
Snapshot FP38.46
Model FP37.00
Cash Score36.59
GPP Score41.44
Mixed Prob29.6%
Under Prob39.8%
Minutes31.00
Usage23.6%
Proof Mid Δ+6.48
Proof Adj+0.41
Proof Conf55.0%
Ceiling53.47
Smash0.007
GPP Bonus3.03
Snapshot -0.04 | Proof soft upside only +6.48 | XGBoost -1.50
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: Beneficiary x Recent Minutes: Medium + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.20, n=5]; spread: Medium spread [lift +0.27, n=3]; blowout: Low [lift +0.17, n=7]
Kennedy Chandler
UTA vs MEM | PG | $5,800
Show details
Base38.17
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-1.44
Over %29.6%
GPP41.18
volatile
Final Rank-0.70
Base38.17
Snapshot FP38.17
Model FP36.73
Cash Score35.99
GPP Score41.18
Mixed Prob33.3%
Under Prob37.1%
Minutes34.91
Usage20.1%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling54.85
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.34
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -1.44
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Leonard Miller
CHI vs ORL | PF | $6,100
Show details
Base32.92
Snap Δ+5.68
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.25
Over %26.7%
GPP40.43
volatile
Final Rank-2.10
Base32.92
Snapshot FP38.60
Model FP30.67
Cash Score34.37
GPP Score40.43
Mixed Prob31.3%
Under Prob42.0%
Minutes39.47
Usage18.6%
Proof Mid Δ-0.62
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling54.11
Smash0.034
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +5.68 | Proof neutral / near base -0.62 | XGBoost -2.25
Proof support: neutral / near base: proj_usage: < 20% usage [lift +0.10, n=7]; recent_usage: < 20% usage [lift +0.10, n=7]; beneficiary_confidence: Medium [lift +0.10, n=7]

Downside Risk Board

Khris Middleton
DAL vs SAS | SG | $3,900
Show details
Base20.91
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.92
Over %29.5%
GPP20.68
downside
Final Rank-2.49
Base20.91
Snapshot FP20.91
Model FP17.99
Cash Score17.15
GPP Score20.68
Mixed Prob28.4%
Under Prob42.1%
Minutes22.72
Usage22.1%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling34.00
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.62
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base 0.00 | XGBoost -2.92
No strong player-specific correlations matched tonight.
Keon Ellis
CLE vs ATL | SG | $4,500
Show details
Base25.36
Snap Δ+0.24
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-3.66
Over %28.9%
GPP26.26
downside
Final Rank-3.11
Base25.36
Snapshot FP25.60
Model FP21.70
Cash Score21.11
GPP Score26.26
Mixed Prob32.0%
Under Prob39.1%
Minutes31.03
Usage12.4%
Proof Mid Δ+1.62
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling40.00
Smash0.037
GPP Bonus3.15
Snapshot +0.24 | Proof neutral / near base +1.62 | XGBoost -3.66
Proof support: neutral / near base: recent_minutes: < 26 min [lift +0.08, n=15]
Brooks Barnhizer
OKC vs DEN | SF | $3,500
Show details
Base24.81
Snap Δ+0.67
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.96
Over %24.5%
GPP26.28
downside
Final Rank-3.38
Base24.81
Snapshot FP25.48
Model FP21.85
Cash Score21.43
GPP Score26.28
Mixed Prob27.8%
Under Prob47.7%
Minutes31.00
Usage9.6%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling37.26
Smash0.086
GPP Bonus3.01
Snapshot +0.67 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.96
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Tyson Etienne
BKN vs MIL | PG | $4,400
Show details
Base25.12
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.87
Over %27.4%
GPP26.83
downside
Final Rank-2.59
Base25.12
Snapshot FP25.12
Model FP22.25
Cash Score21.43
GPP Score26.83
Mixed Prob31.7%
Under Prob40.9%
Minutes31.08
Usage19.8%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling41.91
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.36
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.87
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Leaky Black
WAS vs MIA | SF | $4,300
Show details
Base26.97
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.87
Over %29.2%
GPP28.14
downside
Final Rank-2.21
Base26.97
Snapshot FP26.97
Model FP24.10
Cash Score23.34
GPP Score28.14
Mixed Prob33.2%
Under Prob37.6%
Minutes29.95
Usage10.9%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling39.89
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.58
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.87
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Ryan Nembhard
DAL vs SAS | PG | $4,700
Show details
Base25.82
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.33
Over %26.1%
GPP28.32
downside
Final Rank-2.24
Base25.82
Snapshot FP25.82
Model FP23.49
Cash Score22.65
GPP Score28.32
Mixed Prob31.9%
Under Prob42.0%
Minutes31.52
Usage17.5%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling44.47
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.73
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.33
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Micah Peavy
NOP vs BOS | SG | $4,500
Show details
Base27.76
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.87
Over %25.9%
GPP29.08
downside
Final Rank-2.83
Base27.76
Snapshot FP27.76
Model FP24.89
Cash Score24.04
GPP Score29.08
Mixed Prob31.6%
Under Prob42.5%
Minutes36.28
Usage14.2%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling43.47
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.14
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.87
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Moussa Cisse
DAL vs SAS | C | $3,700
Show details
Base23.11
Snap Δ+6.08
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.56
Over %25.7%
GPP29.47
downside
Final Rank-3.76
Base23.11
Snapshot FP29.19
Model FP19.55
Cash Score23.49
GPP Score29.47
Mixed Prob28.2%
Under Prob46.1%
Minutes25.79
Usage13.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling45.18
Smash0.107
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +6.08 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.56
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Donte DiVincenzo
MIN vs HOU | SG | $5,200
Show details
Base28.19
Snap Δ0.00
Proofneutral / near base
XGB Δ-2.28
Over %25.8%
GPP29.96
downside
Final Rank-2.21
Base28.19
Snapshot FP28.19
Model FP25.91
Cash Score25.08
GPP Score29.96
Mixed Prob32.3%
Under Prob41.9%
Minutes31.46
Usage16.8%
Proof Mid Δ-2.48
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf35.0%
Ceiling42.70
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.90
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof neutral / near base -2.48 | XGBoost -2.28
Proof support: neutral / near base: Ceiling x Minutes: Strong ceiling + 26-31.9 min [lift +0.55, n=4]; Stud x Usage x Environment: Mid base + < 20% usage + Neutral game [lift +0.55, n=2]; Base x Ceiling: Mid base + Strong ceiling [lift +0.35, n=5]; ceiling: Strong ceiling [lift +0.38, n=6]
E.J. Liddell
BKN vs MIL | PF | $4,200
Show details
Base29.90
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.70
Over %25.8%
GPP30.60
downside
Final Rank-3.79
Base29.90
Snapshot FP29.90
Model FP26.20
Cash Score25.31
GPP Score30.60
Mixed Prob29.6%
Under Prob44.5%
Minutes32.84
Usage16.5%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling46.87
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.39
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.70
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Kyle Anderson
MIN vs HOU | PF | $4,900
Show details
Base24.59
Snap Δ+4.47
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.57
Over %27.3%
GPP30.77
downside
Final Rank-2.30
Base24.59
Snapshot FP29.06
Model FP22.02
Cash Score24.77
GPP Score30.77
Mixed Prob31.8%
Under Prob40.9%
Minutes28.86
Usage13.8%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling42.89
Smash0.040
GPP Bonus3.90
Snapshot +4.47 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.57
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Kevon Looney
NOP vs BOS | C | $4,000
Show details
Base30.80
Snap Δ+0.05
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.20
Over %25.7%
GPP31.85
downside
Final Rank-3.52
Base30.80
Snapshot FP30.85
Model FP27.60
Cash Score26.67
GPP Score31.85
Mixed Prob26.1%
Under Prob48.1%
Minutes30.00
Usage10.4%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling49.77
Smash0.002
GPP Bonus3.81
Snapshot +0.05 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.20
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Jalen Slawson
IND vs PHI | SF | $4,600
Show details
Base30.87
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.51
Over %26.3%
GPP31.89
downside
Final Rank-2.43
Base30.87
Snapshot FP30.87
Model FP28.36
Cash Score27.51
GPP Score31.89
Mixed Prob31.1%
Under Prob42.6%
Minutes29.35
Usage14.1%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling43.47
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus2.52
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.51
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Kenrich Williams
OKC vs DEN | PF | $3,700
Show details
Base33.63
Snap Δ+0.67
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-4.42
Over %25.2%
GPP33.07
downside
Final Rank-4.68
Base33.63
Snapshot FP34.30
Model FP29.21
Cash Score28.82
GPP Score33.07
Mixed Prob28.5%
Under Prob46.3%
Minutes32.00
Usage17.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling40.98
Smash0.263
GPP Bonus3.05
Snapshot +0.67 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -4.42
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Jared McCain
OKC vs DEN | SG | $3,800
Show details
Base31.80
Snap Δ+0.67
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-3.20
Over %26.9%
GPP33.43
downside
Final Rank-3.05
Base31.80
Snapshot FP32.47
Model FP28.60
Cash Score28.30
GPP Score33.43
Mixed Prob30.9%
Under Prob42.2%
Minutes34.00
Usage23.3%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling40.24
Smash0.230
GPP Bonus3.06
Snapshot +0.67 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -3.20
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Jordan Poole
NOP vs BOS | PG | $4,400
Show details
Base33.48
Snap Δ0.00
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-2.31
Over %26.7%
GPP34.45
downside
Final Rank-2.24
Base33.48
Snapshot FP33.48
Model FP31.17
Cash Score30.30
GPP Score34.45
Mixed Prob30.1%
Under Prob43.2%
Minutes33.62
Usage25.2%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling51.56
Smash0.000
GPP Bonus3.62
Snapshot 0.00 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -2.31
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Malachi Smith
BKN vs MIL | SG | $4,700
Show details
Base31.96
Snap Δ+5.37
Proofinsufficient history
XGB Δ-4.73
Over %24.9%
GPP36.35
downside
Final Rank-5.05
Base31.96
Snapshot FP37.33
Model FP27.23
Cash Score30.59
GPP Score36.35
Mixed Prob28.2%
Under Prob46.9%
Minutes36.87
Usage14.7%
Proof Mid Δ0.00
Proof Adj0.00
Proof Conf0.0%
Ceiling50.40
Smash0.193
GPP Bonus4.00
Snapshot +5.37 | Proof insufficient history 0.00 | XGBoost -4.73
Proof support: insufficient player-specific history, abstaining.
Aaron Wiggins
OKC vs DEN | SF | $4,100
Show details
Base37.10
Snap Δ+0.67
Proofsoft upside only
XGB Δ-3.96
Over %25.5%
GPP37.38
downside
Final Rank-4.13
Base37.10
Snapshot FP37.77
Model FP33.14
Cash Score33.07
GPP Score37.38
Mixed Prob29.3%
Under Prob45.3%
Minutes34.00
Usage20.0%
Proof Mid Δ+6.55
Proof Adj+0.30
Proof Conf39.6%
Ceiling44.18
Smash0.295
GPP Bonus3.19
Snapshot +0.67 | Proof soft upside only +6.55 | XGBoost -3.96
Proof support: upside traces present, but not strong enough for a hard over call: dvp: Neutral DvP [lift +0.35, n=6]; home_away: Away [lift +0.31, n=8]